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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 17, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Calgary Flames 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lewis–Backlund–HuberdeauColeman–Ritchie–DubeLucic–Kadri–MangiapaneToffoli–Lindholm–RuzickaBacklund–Toffoli–HuberdeauLewis–Lindholm–RuzickaHanifin–AnderssonWeegar–ZadorovTanev–GilbertTanev–ZadorovTanev–WeegarWeegar–GilbertAndersson–Gilbert
Killorn–Stamkos–Paul0:590.02–0.001:170.00–0.044:000.14–0.023:580.00–0.290:390.00–0.064:270.02–0.292:580.10–0.001:240.00–0.021:050.00–0.061:110.04–0.00
Kucherov–Point–Hagel2:000.29–0.285:090.83–0.073:200.38–0.036:240.79–0.083:040.50–0.071:100.21–0.23
Perry–Namestnikov–Colton5:560.16–0.131:420.35–0.200:370.00–0.011:440.00–0.033:390.44–0.021:280.00–0.102:060.07–0.00
Maroon–Bellemare–Koepke2:400.00–0.233:330.00–0.071:020.00–0.151:150.00–0.003:170.00–0.081:070.00–0.00
Cole–Hedman1:330.09–0.090:400.35–0.004:450.52–0.074:360.00–0.250:350.00–0.005:430.38–0.254:270.54–0.150:440.00–0.091:040.00–0.001:110.04–0.00
Sergachev–Perbix3:270.06–0.200:310.09–0.032:580.45–0.002:330.14–0.084:040.18–0.133:510.50–0.070:470.00–0.061:080.06–0.00
Fleury–Myers3:310.00–0.134:030.00–0.261:430.00–0.022:470.00–0.023:060.00–0.050:310.00–0.22
Cole–Sergachev0:440.02–0.000:460.00–0.020:530.21–0.001:460.02–0.060:300.00–0.02
Hedman–Myers0:310.00–0.001:550.18–0.030:460.18–0.041:330.00–0.03
Fleury–Sergachev1:120.00–0.010:430.00–0.050:430.00–0.001:110.03–0.070:490.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Cole–Fleury1:000.00–0.040:360.00–0.000:380.00–0.15
Myers–Sergachev0:490.03–0.230:320.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPerry FColton FNamestnikov FPoint FHagel FKucherov FPaul FKillorn FStamkos FBellemare FKoepke FMaroon FPerbix DSergachev DCole DHedman DFleury DMyers DVasilevskiy GHuberdeau FBacklund FLewis FMangiapane FLucic FKadri FToffoli FRuzicka FLindholm FRitchie FDube FColeman FTanev DWeegar DHanifin DAndersson DZadorov DGilbert DMarkstrom G
TBLCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2925:090:521:2528
Mikhail SergachevTBL3024:550:502:1626
Ian ColeTBL2724:440:551:4827
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3123:170:451:2461
Noah HanifinCGY3022:570:461:5164
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3222:210:421:1932
Nikita ZadorovCGY2820:110:431:1833
Brandon HagelTBL2419:030:481:3432
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2319:030:501:5050
Alex KillornTBL2318:330:482:06412
Steven StamkosTBL2217:520:491:54312
Elias LindholmCGY2117:430:512:1045
Chris TanevCGY3017:380:351:0806
Tyler ToffoliCGY2217:210:471:5663
Brayden PointTBL2217:190:471:2931
Mikael BacklundCGY2217:120:471:1742
Nazem KadriCGY2217:010:461:2381
Nikita KucherovTBL2216:560:461:2931
Nick PaulTBL2116:530:481:18411
Trevor LewisCGY2016:190:491:0511
Philippe MyersTBL2116:000:461:2813
Haydn FleuryTBL2215:120:411:2403
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1814:390:491:2804
Blake ColemanCGY1813:490:461:0611
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2113:480:391:0442
Corey PerryTBL1913:190:421:3721
Ross ColtonTBL1812:110:411:0121
Dillon DubeCGY1812:110:411:0511
Adam RuzickaCGY1812:080:401:0133
Milan LucicCGY1711:470:421:1151
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1811:240:381:1111
Brett RitchieCGY1711:210:401:1910
Nick PerbixTBL1711:150:401:1023
Dennis GilbertCGY159:430:391:0820
Patrick MaroonTBL139:070:421:1602
Cole KoepkeTBL138:300:390:5901