Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 19, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Skinner, saved by Murray
  3. P1 3:02Shot by Asplund, saved by Murray
  4. P1 3:38Shot by Bunting, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 3:45Shot by Holl, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 6:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray
  7. P1 6:18Shot by Bunting, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 7:19Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 7:35Shot by Giordano, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 7:50Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  11. P1 10:34Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 12:45Sheahan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · BUF Sheahan, Hinostroza, Asplund, Dahlin, Power

  13. P1 12:58Goal by Tavares (Marner, Rielly)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  14. P1 13:37Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 13:40Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Murray
  16. P1 15:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 15:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Murray
  18. P1 16:34Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Murray
  19. P1 17:27Goal by Jarnkrok (Engvall, Sandin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Engvall, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg · BUF Sheahan, Hinostroza, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Jokiharju

  20. P1 17:52Tavares: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren, Sandin · BUF Sheahan, Hinostroza, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power

  21. P1 18:21Goal by Giordano (Marner, Kampf)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Marner, Kampf · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn

  22. P1 19:11Shot by Benn, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  23. P1 19:39Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:03Shot by Kampf, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P2 1:04Shot by Engvall, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 1:12Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  29. P2 2:08Sandin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren, Sandin · BUF Sheahan, Asplund, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Lyubushkin

  30. P2 7:40Shot by Liljegren, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 8:07Matthews: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · BUF Hinostroza, Asplund, Thompson, Bryson, Krebs

  32. P2 8:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray4v5
  33. P2 8:56Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  34. P2 9:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  35. P2 9:33Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray4v5
  36. P2 10:01Goal by Tuch (Cozens, Dahlin)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Benn, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Liljegren · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  37. P2 11:43Nylander: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin · BUF Hinostroza, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Lyubushkin, Cozens

  38. P2 11:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  39. P2 12:21Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray4v5
  40. P2 13:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  41. P2 13:23Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  42. P2 14:29Jokiharju: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Sandin · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power

  43. P2 14:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  44. P2 14:50Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Matthews)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · BUF Asplund, Dahlin, Lyubushkin, Cozens

  45. P2 16:56Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  46. P2 18:57Shot by Engvall, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P2 19:20Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:35Shot by Bunting, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 0:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Murray
  52. P3 1:50Shot by Benn, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 2:12Shot by Malgin, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 3:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray
  55. P3 3:28Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 5:22Nylander: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · BUF Hinostroza, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Bryson

  57. P3 6:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray4v5
  58. P3 7:10Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Murray4v5
  59. P3 7:26Shot by Olofsson, saved by Murray
  60. P3 7:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray
  61. P3 9:56Shot by Malgin, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 10:37Goal by Nylander (Tavares)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · BUF Sheahan, Asplund, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs

  63. P3 12:13Shot by Olofsson, saved by Murray
  64. P3 13:54Liljegren: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren, Sandin · BUF Sheahan, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Krebs, Power

  65. P3 14:33Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  66. P3 14:46Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray4v5
  67. P3 15:07Shot by Olofsson, saved by Murray4v5
  68. P3 15:07Goal by Mittelstadt (Quinn, Olofsson)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Benn, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Kerfoot · BUF Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  69. P3 16:32Shot by Peterka, saved by Murray
  70. P3 17:00Shot by Olofsson, saved by Murray
  71. P3 18:40Shot by Asplund, saved by Murray
  72. P3 18:50Sheahan: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Engvall, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg · BUF Sheahan, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Jokiharju, Krebs

  73. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  74. P3 0:00Final