Sat, Nov 19, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
56%
9%
27%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Krebs | Sheahan–Hinostroza–Asplund | Hinostroza–Olofsson–Mittelstadt | Sheahan–Asplund–Krebs | Olofsson–Krebs–Peterka | Dahlin–Power | Jokiharju–Bryson | Fitzgerald–Lyubushkin | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Fitzgerald–Power | Jokiharju–Power | Bryson–Lyubushkin | Dahlin–Lyubushkin | Fitzgerald–Bryson | Fitzgerald–Jokiharju | Fitzgerald–Dahlin | Lyubushkin–Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | 1:220.00–0.09 | 2:400.05–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:100.08–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 3:120.05–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.09 | 0:360.00–0.09 | |||||||||
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 5:300.18–0.34 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 2:120.18–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.16 | 2:360.19–0.12 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:320.09–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Engvall–Holmberg | 2:120.28–0.00 | 2:230.17–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.05 | 1:000.01–0.00 | 1:190.14–0.00 | 1:260.13–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.00 | 0:340.13–0.05 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Malgin–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 0:540.00–0.03 | 3:480.20–0.21 | 1:230.09–0.00 | 2:050.16–0.12 | 0:550.00–0.12 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.08 | 0:480.09–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 2:310.12–0.24 | 2:310.12–0.24 | |||||||||||||||||
| Tavares–Kerfoot–Marner | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Holl–Rielly | 4:310.18–0.17 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.02 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:200.18–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.16 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:180.08–0.04 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Benn–Rielly | 3:160.12–0.31 | 0:400.00–0.09 | 2:150.00–0.10 | 3:220.12–0.24 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.09 | 1:080.09–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.09 | 0:330.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Liljegren–Sandin | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:000.00–0.00 | 1:000.13–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.05 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:320.19–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:400.13–0.05 | ||||||
| Giordano–Holl | 1:110.11–0.03 | 3:390.62–0.23 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:420.16–0.13 | 1:470.31–0.12 | 1:340.25–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:370.05–0.00 | 1:050.09–0.00 | 2:020.06–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.18 | 0:480.09–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Benn–Sandin | 2:440.18–0.09 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.09 | 0:500.13–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Giordano–Sandin | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 31 | 26:21 | 0:51 | 2:06 | 8 | 1 |
 Justin HollTOR | 30 | 24:08 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 1 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 21:34 | 0:46 | 2:05 | 3 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 21:02 | 0:55 | 1:56 | 6 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 21:00 | 0:57 | 1:57 | 5 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 22 | 20:44 | 0:57 | 1:57 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 27 | 20:36 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 1 | 8 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 20:31 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 8 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 19:47 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 8 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 26 | 19:44 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Jordie BennTOR | 23 | 18:28 | 0:48 | 1:50 | 0 | 4 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 24 | 18:13 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 1 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 17:58 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 1 | 6 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 22 | 17:52 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 David KampfTOR | 24 | 17:16 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 0 | 9 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 20 | 17:03 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 16:57 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 4 | 2 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 21 | 16:07 | 0:46 | 2:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 15:52 | 0:50 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 20 | 15:20 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 15:17 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 21 | 14:50 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 1 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 20 | 14:30 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 0 | 3 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 18 | 14:26 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 2 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 18 | 14:06 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 1 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 14:05 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 21 | 13:38 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 0 | 4 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 17 | 12:38 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 17 | 12:37 | 0:45 | 2:27 | 0 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 21 | 12:17 | 0:35 | 1:03 | 1 | 4 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 18 | 12:02 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 14 | 11:58 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 13 | 10:09 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 0 | 1 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 17 | 10:02 | 0:35 | 1:00 | 1 | 1 |
 Denis MalginTOR | 13 | 9:17 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 15 | 9:06 | 0:36 | 0:56 | 2 | 0 |