Sat, Nov 19, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
56%
9%
27%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 26:21 | 0.18 | 47.2% | +7.4 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:34 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 9 | 21:02 | 0.74 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:00 | 0.51 | 43.0% | +7.4 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:31 | 0.59 | 45.6% | +7.4 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.19 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:44 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.11 | 32.1% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:52 | 0.24 | 53.5% | +0.3 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.03 | 39.6% | +0.3 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.31 | 16.5% | +0.3 |
 Casey FitzgeraldD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.01 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:58 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AsplundC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.15 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Riley SheahanC · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 23 | 19 | 5 | .826 | 3.92 | −1.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:08 | 0.07 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 37.7% | +18.6 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:36 | 1.05 | 68.1% | +9.0 |
 Jordie BennD · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.03 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.05 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.10 | 56.4% | +27.5 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.23 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.28 | 65.7% | +9.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.24 | 34.2% | +6.3 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 80.5% | +13.3 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.31 | 48.8% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.47 | 48.8% | +5.4 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.24 | 32.1% | +24.8 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.41 | 83.1% | +13.3 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 57.5% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.30 | 83.8% | +13.3 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 84.6% | 0.0 |
 Denis MalginC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:17 | 0.13 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.06 | +1.1 | 59:38 |