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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 14, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 4, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Goal by Toews (MacKinnon, Rodrigues)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard

  3. P1 1:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  4. P1 3:20Goal by MacKinnon (Toews, Rantanen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard

  5. P1 4:00Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Lankinen
  6. P1 4:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  7. P1 4:16Shot by Eller, saved by Lankinen
  8. P1 4:30Shot by Toews, saved by Lankinen
  9. P1 4:59Shot by Newhook, saved by Lankinen
  10. P1 5:42Goal by Sherwood, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Novak, Foote, Sherwood, Stastney, Evangelista · COL Johnson, Galchenyuk, Byram, Newhook, Meyers

  11. P1 6:04Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Lankinen
  12. P1 6:11Shot by Toews, saved by Lankinen
  13. P1 6:37Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lankinen
  14. P1 6:37Trenin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard

  15. P1 9:19Shot by Nieto, saved by Lankinen
  16. P1 11:42Shot by Girard, saved by Lankinen
  17. P1 11:43Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lankinen
  18. P1 13:14Goal by MacKinnon (Girard)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Novak, Fabbro, Sherwood, Evangelista · COL Johnson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Girard

  19. P1 14:13Shot by Stastney, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 14:54Stastney: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Trenin, Foote, Stastney, Parssinen · COL Johnson, Eller, Nieto, Girard, O'Connor

  21. P1 16:02Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Lankinen4v5
  22. P1 17:22Shot by Eller, saved by Lankinen
  23. P1 18:19Shot by O'Connor, saved by Lankinen
  24. P1 19:46Shot by McDonagh, saved by Georgiev
  25. P1 19:47Shot by Jankowski, saved by Georgiev
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:51Shot by Novak, saved by Georgiev
  29. P2 2:03Shot by Eller, saved by Lankinen
  30. P2 2:32Goal by Evangelista (Novak, Foote)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Novak, Foote, Sherwood, Evangelista · COL Johnson, Galchenyuk, MacDermid, Newhook, Meyers

  31. P2 5:50MacDermid: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Novak, Foote, Sherwood, Stastney, Tomasino, Evangelista · COL Eller, Nieto, MacDermid, Girard, O'Connor

  32. P2 7:08Goal by Sherwood (Trenin, Sissons)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Sanford, Trenin, Fabbro, Sherwood · COL Johnson, Nieto, Girard, O'Connor

  33. P2 8:13Shot by Fabbro, saved by Georgiev
  34. P2 8:16Shot by Sanford, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 8:22Shot by Fabbro, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 11:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  37. P2 13:54Shot by Trenin, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 14:01Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  39. P2 14:49Shot by Sanford, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 15:45Rodrigues: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Novak, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard

  41. P2 17:34Shot by O'Connor, saved by Lankinen5v4
  42. P2 18:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:35Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen
  46. P3 0:42Fabbro: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen · COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard

  47. P3 1:08Shot by Toews, saved by Lankinen4v5
  48. P3 2:33Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lankinen4v5
  49. P3 3:06Shot by Tomasino, saved by Georgiev
  50. P3 3:10Shot by Livingstone, saved by Georgiev
  51. P3 3:35Shot by Nieto, saved by Lankinen
  52. P3 3:35Livingstone: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Sanford, Glass, Tomasino, Livingstone · COL Eller, Nieto, Toews, Girard, O'Connor

  53. P3 6:39Shot by Tomasino, saved by Georgiev
  54. P3 7:15Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev
  55. P3 7:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen
  56. P3 8:15Shot by Rantanen, saved by Lankinen
  57. P3 8:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Lankinen
  58. P3 8:29Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Lankinen
  59. P3 9:22Shot by Novak, saved by Georgiev
  60. P3 10:49Shot by Asplund, saved by Georgiev
  61. P3 11:57Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen
  62. P3 12:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lankinen
  63. P3 13:16Shot by Livingstone, saved by Georgiev
  64. P3 14:41Shot by Glass, saved by Georgiev
  65. P3 17:06Shot by McDonagh, saved by Georgiev
  66. P3 18:18Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen)+47 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Parssinen · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  67. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  68. P3 0:00Final