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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 14, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 4, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacKinnon–Rantanen–RodriguesCompher–Lehkonen–NichushkinEller–Nieto–O'ConnorMacKinnon–Nichushkin–RodriguesGalchenyuk–Newhook–MeyersLehkonen–Rodrigues–NewhookCompher–Lehkonen–RantanenCompher–Nichushkin–RodriguesLehkonen–MacKinnon–RantanenNieto–O'Connor–MeyersToews–GirardJohnson–ByramGirard–ByramJohnson–ByramJohnson–ToewsJohnson–JohnsonToews–ByramJohnson–ToewsJohnson–Girard
Sanford–Glass–Tomasino0:440.00–0.003:140.00–0.051:460.20–0.290:410.00–0.170:380.00–0.001:010.00–0.295:110.09–0.170:550.17–0.000:460.00–0.001:380.07–0.000:390.05–0.05
Sissons–Trenin–Parssinen5:430.00–0.402:150.00–0.157:030.00–0.770:310.00–0.000:450.00–0.100:320.00–0.00
Novak–Sherwood–Evangelista1:250.11–0.001:530.00–0.040:410.00–0.150:450.03–0.000:390.00–0.190:550.00–0.002:460.14–0.001:280.15–0.001:050.00–0.001:060.00–0.23
Jankowski–McCarron–Asplund1:000.00–0.001:170.00–0.070:350.00–0.000:320.00–0.001:020.00–0.001:160.00–0.071:060.00–0.00
Glass–Sherwood–Evangelista
McDonagh–Fabbro6:500.43–0.401:020.00–0.072:370.00–0.300:300.00–0.007:410.23–0.551:180.00–0.001:200.12–0.071:010.00–0.000:490.21–0.00
Barrie–Livingstone3:270.11–0.002:210.01–0.340:440.00–0.000:570.00–0.170:470.00–0.000:370.00–0.191:000.00–0.295:500.11–0.170:370.00–0.001:020.01–0.001:490.05–0.230:360.11–0.00
Foote–Stastney0:410.00–0.001:020.00–0.051:220.00–0.001:150.03–0.080:560.03–0.001:010.00–0.262:220.03–0.000:550.18–0.051:400.00–0.000:580.00–0.000:450.00–0.05
McDonagh–Foote0:480.09–0.000:310.00–0.00
McDonagh–Livingstone0:390.00–0.00
Barrie–Stastney0:420.17–0.00
Stastney–Livingstone
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSissons FTrenin FParssinen FGlass FSanford FTomasino FSherwood FNovak FEvangelista FJankowski FMcCarron FAsplund FMcDonagh DFabbro DBarrie DLivingstone DStastney DFoote DLankinen GRodrigues FMacKinnon FRantanen FNichushkin FCompher FLehkonen FNieto FEller FO'Connor FMeyers FNewhook FGalchenyuk FToews DGirard DJohnson DByram DMacDermid DJohnson DGeorgiev G
NSHCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Samuel GirardCOL2925:230:532:0042
Bowen ByramCOL2625:110:581:3533
Devon ToewsCOL2724:540:551:4132
Ryan McDonaghNSH2823:580:511:5516
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2223:341:042:0363
Valeri NichushkinCOL2322:070:581:5546
Evan RodriguesCOL2321:460:571:3432
Dante FabbroNSH2721:100:471:5526
J.T. CompherCOL2220:240:561:5555
Tyson BarrieNSH2419:520:501:5362
Colton SissonsNSH2419:360:491:3735
Mikko RantanenCOL1919:021:002:0051
Spencer StastneyNSH2018:490:561:4100
Yakov TreninNSH2318:480:491:4135
Cal FooteNSH1818:361:021:5000
Artturi LehkonenCOL2018:220:551:4422
Cody GlassNSH2017:390:531:4242
Jack JohnsonCOL2117:390:501:2913
Erik JohnsonCOL2216:290:451:2013
Philip TomasinoNSH2116:270:471:2962
Kiefer SherwoodNSH1616:061:001:4220
Zachary SanfordNSH2115:440:451:2952
Jake LivingstoneNSH2015:380:471:1322
Luke EvangelistaNSH1515:331:022:0530
Tommy NovakNSH1615:210:581:5520
Juuso ParssinenNSH1913:240:421:2834
Logan O'ConnorCOL1612:380:471:1711
Lars EllerCOL1512:230:501:4633
Matt NietoCOL1411:530:511:2110
Mark JankowskiNSH1411:120:481:4803
Alex NewhookCOL1110:470:591:4531
Michael McCarronNSH1310:140:471:4302
Ben MeyersCOL66:021:001:4700
Rasmus AsplundNSH85:300:411:4001
Kurtis MacDermidCOL95:160:351:2911
Alex GalchenyukCOL42:560:440:5700