Sat, Nov 26, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.
20%
66%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.15 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:22 | 0.06 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 19:31 | 0.84 | 59.5% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.36 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 17:07 | 0.61 | 62.9% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.22 | 47.8% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:48 | 0.77 | 56.2% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.05 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.04 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:23 | 0.22 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.18 | 53.5% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:27 | 0.22 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.22 | 42.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 2.53 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:17 | 0.09 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:33 | 0.60 | 36.6% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.11 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.06 | 38.9% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.01 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.10 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.63 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.37 | 44.6% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.10 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.07 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.05 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.04 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.08 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.12 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.05 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.04 | 21.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 37 | 4 | .902 | 3.99 | 0.0 | 60:00 |