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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 26, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus SandinD · #38000+2022:590.0061.2%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37000+2222:090.1559.5%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #55000+1221:220.0665.8%0.0
Justin HollD · #3000+1121:130.0071.1%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16112+2819:310.8459.5%+28.2
John TavaresC · #910000317:080.3646.3%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34123+3617:070.6162.9%+22.8
Calle JarnkrokC · #190110216:280.2247.8%+12.5
William NylanderRW · #88112+2415:480.7756.2%+10.3
David KampfC · #640000015:350.0066.4%0.0
Victor MeteD · #980000215:240.0538.5%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #470000214:450.0439.1%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15000−1113:590.0326.3%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #120000313:230.2278.7%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #58022+3113:110.1853.5%+10.3
Denis MalginC · #620000312:270.2277.0%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #291010112:010.2242.5%+15.7
Mac HollowellD · #810000011:300.0026.1%0.0
Erik Kallgren#50W26251.9622.53+1.560:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #580000123:170.0935.1%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67101−1620:330.6036.6%+3.3
Brian DumoulinD · #8000−1120:290.0043.2%0.0
Marcus PetterssonD · #280000220:290.1145.6%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #590110120:060.0638.9%+3.3
Jan RuttaD · #44000−1119:530.0139.1%0.0
Jeff PetryD · #26000−2219:170.1062.0%0.0
Jason ZuckerLW · #16000−2217:160.6366.2%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #870110216:340.3744.6%+3.3
Evgeni MalkinC · #71000−2116:060.1060.4%0.0
Bryan RustRW · #17000−2215:200.0759.7%0.0
Pierre-Olivier JosephD · #73000−2013:590.0549.5%0.0
Teddy BluegerC · #53000−1013:280.0431.2%0.0
Jeff CarterC · #770000012:070.0843.8%0.0
Brock McGinnLW · #230000211:590.1248.0%0.0
Danton HeinenLW · #430000011:190.0049.3%0.0
Josh ArchibaldRW · #150000210:590.0553.3%0.0
Ryan PoehlingC · #25000−1110:490.0421.0%0.0
Casey DeSmith#1L41374.9023.990.060:00