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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 26, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 73% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Goal by Marner (Matthews, Jarnkrok)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Petry, Rakell, Blueger, Joseph, Poehling · TOR Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  3. P1 1:13Shot by Poehling, saved by Kallgren
  4. P1 1:40Shot by Giordano, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 2:41Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 3:27Mete: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Petry, Zucker, Rust, Joseph · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Mete, Hollowell

  7. P1 3:36Shot by Petry, saved by Kallgren5v4
  8. P1 4:19Shot by Holl, saved by DeSmith5v4
  9. P1 5:42Shot by Zucker, saved by Kallgren
  10. P1 7:23Shot by Rust, saved by Kallgren
  11. P1 12:15Shot by Bunting, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 12:17Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 12:52Shot by Mete, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 12:59Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 12:59Pettersson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner

  16. P1 13:05Shot by Tavares, saved by DeSmith4v5
  17. P1 13:15Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith4v5
  18. P1 13:16Shot by Tavares, saved by DeSmith4v5
  19. P1 13:43Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith4v5
  20. P1 13:57Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith4v5
  21. P1 16:00Shot by Mete, saved by DeSmith
  22. P1 17:34Shot by Malgin, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 18:26Shot by Rakell, saved by Kallgren
  24. P1 19:35Shot by Tavares, saved by DeSmith
  25. P1 19:56Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:20Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith
  29. P2 0:48Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  30. P2 0:53Shot by Liljegren, saved by DeSmith
  31. P2 0:54Petry: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Petry, Archibald, Blueger, Joseph, Poehling · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  32. P2 1:26Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith4v5
  33. P2 4:03Shot by Pettersson, saved by Kallgren
  34. P2 4:34Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 6:13Shot by Kerfoot, saved by DeSmith
  36. P2 6:17Shot by Liljegren, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 6:35Shot by Rutta, saved by Kallgren
  38. P2 7:50Shot by Crosby, saved by Kallgren
  39. P2 7:57Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kallgren
  40. P2 8:01Shot by Petry, saved by Kallgren
  41. P2 9:55Goal by Holmberg (Marner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Rust, Pettersson · TOR Engvall, Marner, Mete, Hollowell, Holmberg

  42. P2 10:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Kallgren
  43. P2 10:50Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Bunting)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Rutta · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  44. P2 11:17Shot by Archibald, saved by Kallgren
  45. P2 12:15Shot by Letang, saved by Kallgren
  46. P2 15:24Aston-Reese: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rust, Joseph · TOR Malgin, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg

  47. P2 17:01Shot by Rakell, saved by Kallgren5v4
  48. P2 18:53Shot by Pettersson, saved by Kallgren
  49. P2 19:30Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:06Guentzel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner

  53. P3 0:20Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith4v5
  54. P3 0:26Shot by McGinn, saved by Kallgren4v5
  55. P3 0:58Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith4v5
  56. P3 2:22Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Kallgren
  57. P3 3:12Shot by Rakell, saved by Kallgren
  58. P3 4:02Shot by Malkin, saved by Kallgren
  59. P3 4:21Shot by Engvall, saved by DeSmith
  60. P3 4:57Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 5:14Shot by Archibald, saved by Kallgren
  62. P3 5:48Shot by Matthews, saved by DeSmith
  63. P3 5:50Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 7:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Kallgren
  65. P3 8:54Shot by Malgin, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 9:18Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by DeSmith
  67. P3 9:24Shot by Malgin, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 10:12Shot by Rust, saved by Kallgren
  69. P3 11:38Goal by Rakell (Guentzel, Crosby)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson · TOR Kerfoot, Engvall, Mete, Hollowell, Holmberg

  70. P3 12:32Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 14:36Goal by Matthews (Bunting, Nylander)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Petry, Zucker, Rust, Joseph · TOR Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  72. P3 16:21Shot by Rakell, saved by Kallgren
  73. P3 16:40Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by DeSmith
  74. P3 17:18Shot by Giordano, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 19:13Shot by Engvall, saved by DeSmith
  76. P3 19:23Shot by McGinn, saved by Kallgren
  77. P3 19:55Shot by Rakell, saved by Kallgren
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final