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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 28, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Buffalo Sabres 5 (OT)

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Quinn, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 0:15Shot by Cozens, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 2:39Shot by Kucherov, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 3:38Shot by Dahlin, saved by Elliott
  6. P1 4:12Shot by Girgensons, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 4:50Koepke: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Fitzgerald, Mittelstadt, Lyubushkin · TBL Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Colton, Koepke

  8. P1 4:59Shot by Dahlin, saved by Elliott5v4
  9. P1 5:11Shot by Cozens, saved by Elliott5v4
  10. P1 6:26Peterka: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jokiharju, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TBL Perry, Killorn, Hedman, Cernak

  11. P1 7:54Goal by Point (Kucherov, Hagel)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Cozens · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel

  12. P1 8:10Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 8:55Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
  14. P1 9:44Shot by Peterka, saved by Elliott
  15. P1 12:49Shot by Power, saved by Elliott
  16. P1 12:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 13:03Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Elliott
  18. P1 14:19Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Elliott
  19. P1 16:48Goal by Perry (Stamkos)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · TBL Perry, Cole, Stamkos, Bogosian, Namestnikov

  20. P1 17:54Goal by Thompson, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TBL Maroon, Hedman, Cernak, Colton, Koepke

  21. P1 18:53Goal by Quinn (Peterka, Power)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Paul, Perbix

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:15Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Elliott
  25. P2 3:02Shot by Asplund, saved by Elliott
  26. P2 3:13Shot by Colton, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P2 5:50Shot by Hagel, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 7:57Shot by Cernak, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 8:13Shot by Bogosian, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 9:03Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
  31. P2 9:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 9:07Goal by Jost (Okposo, Girgensons)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Power · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sergachev, Foote

  33. P2 10:02Shot by Tuch, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 10:13Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 10:49Shot by Cozens, saved by Elliott
  36. P2 13:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 14:31Shot by Sergachev, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 14:58Samuelsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TBL Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix

  39. P2 15:35Shot by Hagel, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  40. P2 16:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  41. P2 16:26Goal by Point (Kucherov, Sergachev)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Lyubushkin · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel

  42. P2 16:48Shot by Quinn, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P3 0:48Shot by Perbix, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P3 2:03Shot by Thompson, saved by Elliott
  48. P3 2:41Shot by Hedman, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 3:26Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  50. P3 3:33Shot by Power, saved by Elliott
  51. P3 4:08Shot by Hagel, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 5:21Shot by Cozens, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 6:50Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 9:37Goal by Cozens (Dahlin, Samuelsson)+28 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · TBL Perry, Hedman, Namestnikov, Colton, Foote

  55. P3 11:57Shot by Colton, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 13:51Shot by Perry, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 14:19Goal by Skinner (Thompson, Tuch)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Lyubushkin · TBL Perry, Cole, Bogosian, Namestnikov, Colton

  58. P3 14:33Shot by Killorn, saved by Luukkonen
  59. P3 14:35Goal by Stamkos (Killorn, Sergachev)+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Asplund, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Paul, Sergachev, Perbix

  60. P3 15:27Kucherov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel

  61. P3 15:27Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · TBL Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel

  62. P3 16:14Shot by Tuch, saved by Elliott4v4
  63. P3 16:15Shot by Tuch, saved by Elliott4v4
  64. P3 16:47Jost: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin · TBL Point, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix

  65. P3 17:58Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, Sergachev)4v6+37 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Cozens · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel

  66. P3 18:11Shot by Killorn, saved by Luukkonen
  67. P3 18:23Power: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Paul, Sergachev, Colton

  68. P3 18:30Shot by Jost, saved by Elliott4v5
  69. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:32Shot by Power, saved by Elliott4v4
  72. OT 1:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Elliott4v4
  73. OT 1:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Elliott4v4
  74. OT 1:22Shot by Power, saved by Elliott4v4
  75. OT 2:35Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott3v3
  76. OT 2:44Goal by Stamkos (Paul)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Paul

  77. OT 2:44Period end4v4
  78. OT 2:44Final