Mon, Nov 28, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Buffalo Sabres 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
51%
34%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 3 | 26:00 | 0.15 | 43.3% | +69.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:13 | 0.67 | 62.5% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24:55 | 0.07 | 50.4% | +69.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23:46 | 0.80 | 71.2% | +48.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:39 | 0.14 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.37 | 39.2% | +78.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.34 | 43.4% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.05 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.39 | 37.8% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.01 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.03 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.18 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.08 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:49 | 0.26 | 72.9% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.08 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:17 | 0.27 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:35 | 0.01 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.43 | −0.6 | 62:23 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 27:01 | 0.07 | 50.3% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:03 | 0.02 | 46.8% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.04 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:50 | 0.60 | 55.6% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:06 | 0.72 | 55.5% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:02 | 0.22 | 45.7% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.16 | 63.3% | +20.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:45 | 0.45 | 45.5% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.09 | 54.7% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:18 | 0.68 | 53.6% | +20.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 14:46 | 0.63 | 69.9% | +27.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:21 | 0.35 | 83.0% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.25 | 83.7% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.00 | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.14 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:18 | 0.00 | 10.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 19 | 6 | .760 | 3.88 | −2.1 | 62:44 |