Mon, Nov 28, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Buffalo Sabres 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
51%
34%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Killorn–Stamkos–Paul | Maroon–Colton–Koepke | Perry–Namestnikov–Colton | Perry–Kucherov–Namestnikov | Perry–Stamkos–Namestnikov | Killorn–Maroon–Paul | Maroon–Point–Koepke | Hedman–Cernak | Cole–Bogosian | Sergachev–Perbix | Sergachev–Foote | Cole–Perbix | Cole–Sergachev | Bogosian–Hedman | Cernak–Sergachev | Hedman–Perbix | Hedman–Foote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 0:570.00–0.05 | 1:370.31–0.02 | 4:270.00–0.16 | 1:000.05–0.12 | 0:540.09–0.00 | 1:040.05–0.00 | 3:430.09–0.25 | 2:300.27–0.17 | 2:210.00–0.00 | 1:330.09–0.08 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | 8:390.11–0.32 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 4:480.09–0.15 | 1:400.03–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.03 | 1:400.42–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 1:260.08–0.00 | 6:200.71–0.14 | 1:080.07–0.04 | 2:210.33–0.00 | 2:270.11–0.20 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 2:070.31–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Olofsson–Asplund–Mittelstadt | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.35 | 1:020.01–0.00 | 1:160.03–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.15 | 0:580.00–0.18 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.17 | 0:480.00–0.35 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.10 | |||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 11:040.00–0.27 | 2:060.05–0.00 | 1:130.21–0.00 | 1:130.09–0.15 | 5:570.30–0.15 | 3:020.00–0.12 | 3:590.00–0.03 | 1:320.01–0.00 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:310.05–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.00 | |||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 1:040.08–0.00 | 8:500.53–0.81 | 1:550.01–0.07 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.18 | 3:590.26–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.26 | 2:550.00–0.65 | 1:510.55–0.02 | 1:010.11–0.00 | 1:350.09–0.08 | 0:310.05–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | ||||
| Fitzgerald–Lyubushkin | 0:390.09–0.00 | 1:000.22–0.00 | 3:030.01–0.01 | 1:450.05–0.22 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:430.09–0.12 | 2:410.05–0.12 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:150.17–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.10 | ||||||||
| Jokiharju–Samuelsson | 0:520.00–0.14 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Fitzgerald–Power | 1:090.07–0.04 | 0:300.07–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 31 | 27:01 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 29 | 26:00 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 3 | 5 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 25 | 25:13 | 1:01 | 1:59 | 4 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 33 | 25:03 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 27 | 24:55 | 0:55 | 2:00 | 2 | 5 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 28 | 23:46 | 0:51 | 1:59 | 3 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 23:39 | 0:51 | 1:54 | 1 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 32 | 23:31 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 2 | 8 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 29 | 22:50 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 3 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 27 | 22:37 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 9 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 27 | 20:06 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 5 | 1 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 28 | 19:58 | 0:43 | 1:41 | 6 | 5 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 19:02 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 5 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 18:39 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 23 | 18:09 | 0:47 | 1:59 | 3 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 17:49 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 5 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 23 | 17:45 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 4 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 22 | 17:38 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 4 | 5 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 20 | 16:27 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 21 | 16:18 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 3 | 4 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 14:46 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 3 | 6 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 14:21 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 19 | 14:16 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 3 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 20 | 14:00 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 1 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 18 | 13:50 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 2 | 4 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 19 | 13:00 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 17 | 12:09 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 19 | 11:27 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 18 | 10:49 | 0:36 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 13 | 10:29 | 0:48 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 15 | 10:17 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 15 | 9:19 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Cole KoepkeTBL | 13 | 8:52 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 15 | 8:38 | 0:35 | 1:14 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 15 | 8:18 | 0:33 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 10 | 7:35 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |