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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 29, 2022·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 80% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perry–Namestnikov–ColtonMaroon–Bellemare–KoepkeStamkos–Kucherov–HagelKillorn–Paul–PointKucherov–Point–HagelKillorn–Stamkos–PaulKillorn–Point–HagelSergachev–PerbixHedman–CernakCole–BogosianCernak–SergachevBogosian–HedmanHedman–PerbixBogosian–SergachevCole–PerbixCole–Cernak
Bergeron–Marchand–DeBrusk1:380.09–0.003:300.18–0.071:130.00–0.062:590.13–0.001:140.07–0.000:560.00–0.022:070.12–0.026:470.26–0.131:300.07–0.06
Krejci–Pastrnak–Zacha1:500.04–0.021:480.00–0.001:270.00–0.002:280.00–0.001:040.04–0.005:360.04–0.001:390.09–0.002:190.04–0.001:100.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Coyle–Hall–Frederic2:320.00–0.040:310.00–0.001:560.02–0.002:300.16–0.002:400.02–0.001:030.01–0.002:350.02–0.001:190.14–0.07
Foligno–Nosek–Greer2:040.04–0.163:490.03–0.080:550.06–0.002:370.06–0.061:200.03–0.001:520.00–0.050:590.00–0.010:540.05–0.13
Krejci–Hall–Pastrnak0:430.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Coyle–Hall–Pastrnak0:350.23–0.000:440.00–0.02
Lindholm–McAvoy3:450.13–0.021:500.03–0.004:140.18–0.310:450.02–0.003:530.23–0.003:500.11–0.008:100.37–0.273:140.27–0.181:140.00–0.021:010.12–0.060:300.04–0.02
Forbort–Clifton1:550.04–0.072:170.00–0.010:520.00–0.004:530.00–0.060:380.01–0.001:240.02–0.004:090.07–0.003:330.01–0.063:250.02–0.091:070.00–0.010:360.01–0.00
Grzelcyk–Carlo1:490.03–0.002:090.00–0.020:310.00–0.000:550.00–0.042:530.20–0.000:590.00–0.023:540.03–0.021:200.00–0.001:350.07–0.060:390.00–0.001:020.14–0.000:410.00–0.00
Grzelcyk–Clifton0:440.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Lindholm–Carlo1:020.13–0.130:460.00–0.050:360.00–0.000:490.00–0.060:510.13–0.000:300.00–0.00
Forbort–Carlo1:160.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGreer FFoligno FNosek FHall FCoyle FFrederic FZacha FKrejci FPastrnak FDeBrusk FBergeron FMarchand FLindholm DMcAvoy DCarlo DGrzelcyk DForbort DClifton DSwayman GPoint FHagel FKucherov FKillorn FPaul FStamkos FPerry FColton FNamestnikov FBellemare FKoepke FMaroon FHedman DCernak DBogosian DPerbix DSergachev DCole DVasilevskiy G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Hampus LindholmBOS2825:110:542:1621
Mikhail SergachevTBL3024:340:491:4243
Charlie McAvoyBOS2823:570:511:3131
Victor HedmanTBL3023:340:471:2635
Brandon HagelTBL2721:120:471:1844
Erik CernakTBL3020:510:421:1225
Nikita KucherovTBL2419:500:501:4532
Brayden PointTBL2219:210:531:2254
Derek ForbortBOS2219:150:532:2002
Brad MarchandBOS2519:080:461:2554
David PastrnakBOS2418:460:472:0741
Jake DeBruskBOS2418:360:471:4043
Steven StamkosTBL2318:160:481:4151
Brandon CarloBOS2518:110:441:0326
Alex KillornTBL2218:110:501:2554
Patrice BergeronBOS2517:530:431:2555
Nick PerbixTBL2617:520:411:2211
Connor CliftonBOS2017:250:522:2010
Nick PaulTBL2016:530:511:3944
David KrejciBOS2316:320:431:2832
Charlie CoyleBOS2415:370:391:2412
Ross ColtonTBL1914:550:471:3801
Taylor HallBOS2214:520:411:0620
Pavel ZachaBOS2214:430:401:0641
Zach BogosianTBL1714:350:511:1900
Matt GrzelcykBOS2114:310:411:0731
Ian ColeTBL1814:190:481:1412
Corey PerryTBL1813:110:441:1011
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1812:590:431:1200
Trent FredericBOS1912:120:391:1210
Tomas NosekBOS1512:000:481:1902
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1511:100:451:2603
Nick FolignoBOS139:250:431:0510
Patrick MaroonTBL129:150:461:0200
A.J. GreerBOS128:510:441:2000
Cole KoepkeTBL128:340:430:5100