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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Killorn, saved by Murray
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:17Shot by Engvall, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 2:51Shot by Cernak, saved by Murray
  7. P1 3:12Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  8. P1 3:52Hollowell: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Tavares, Marner, Mete, Hollowell, Robertson

  9. P1 5:51Shot by Colton, saved by Murray5v4
  10. P1 7:00Shot by Cirelli, saved by Murray
  11. P1 7:51Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 8:10Shot by Hollowell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 9:18Shot by Cole, saved by Murray
  14. P1 10:10Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 10:30Cole: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · TOR Tavares, Marner, Mete, Hollowell, Robertson

  16. P1 11:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  17. P1 13:02Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 14:19Shot by Perry, saved by Murray
  19. P1 14:58Hagel: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Holl, Marner, Robertson

  20. P1 15:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  21. P1 15:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  22. P1 15:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  23. P1 15:55Shot by Sandin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  24. P1 16:23Shot by Paul, saved by Murray4v5
  25. P1 16:43Shot by Giordano, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  26. P1 17:20Shot by Perry, saved by Murray
  27. P1 19:05Holmberg: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Simmonds, Holl, Engvall, Matthews

  28. P1 19:46Shot by Stamkos, saved by Murray5v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:03Shot by Perry, saved by Murray5v4
  32. P2 1:17Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 1:35Shot by Sandin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 2:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 2:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 2:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 2:25Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Paul, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Liljegren, Sandin

  38. P2 2:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  39. P2 3:21Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  40. P2 3:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  41. P2 3:49Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  42. P2 4:34Shot by Sandin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 4:52Simmonds: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Maroon, Stamkos, Bogosian, Perbix · TOR Simmonds, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, Holmberg

  44. P2 5:18Goal by Marner (Kampf)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  45. P2 7:40Goal by Namestnikov (Cirelli, Cernak)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Namestnikov, Cernak, Cirelli, Colton · TOR Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Sandin

  46. P2 8:33Shot by Bogosian, saved by Murray
  47. P2 8:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 10:26Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 10:53Shot by Sandin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 11:10Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  51. P2 11:20Shot by Maroon, saved by Murray
  52. P2 11:47Shot by Maroon, saved by Murray
  53. P2 12:40Shot by Hedman, saved by Murray
  54. P2 13:49Shot by Paul, saved by Murray
  55. P2 13:57Shot by Hedman, saved by Murray
  56. P2 14:49Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P2 14:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P2 15:34Shot by Cole, saved by Murray
  59. P2 16:50Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Bunting)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  60. P2 17:10Kucherov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  61. P2 17:10Bunting: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  62. P2 17:10Cernak: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  63. P2 17:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  64. P2 18:52Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Murray4v5
  65. P2 19:48Aston-Reese: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · TOR Simmonds, Holl, Mete, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  66. P2 19:48Perbix: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · TOR Simmonds, Holl, Mete, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  67. P2 19:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  68. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:04Marner: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · TOR Tavares, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin

  71. P3 0:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Murray4v3
  72. P3 1:51Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos, Perry)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Perbix · TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Aston-Reese

  73. P3 2:24Shot by Cirelli, saved by Murray
  74. P3 2:25Shot by Cirelli, saved by Murray
  75. P3 2:51Liljegren: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Sergachev · TOR Tavares, Marner, Liljegren, Sandin, Robertson

  76. P3 4:11Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  77. P3 4:31Shot by Colton, saved by Murray5v4
  78. P3 4:34Goal by Colton (Sergachev, Perry)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Sergachev, Colton · TOR Giordano, Engvall, Hollowell, Holmberg

  79. P3 4:45Shot by Cernak, saved by Murray
  80. P3 5:03Shot by Maroon, saved by Murray
  81. P3 6:54Shot by Point, saved by Murray
  82. P3 7:08Shot by Kampf, saved by Vasilevskiy
  83. P3 7:29Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Point, Hagel · TOR Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf, Sandin

  84. P3 11:37Sergachev: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Robertson

  85. P3 11:55Goal by Marner, unassisted4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Paul, Cernak, Hagel · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  86. P3 13:02Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Vasilevskiy
  87. P3 13:14Shot by Simmonds, saved by Vasilevskiy
  88. P3 13:49Shot by Hollowell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  89. P3 15:28Shot by Kucherov, saved by Murray
  90. P3 15:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  91. P3 16:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. OT 0:00Period start
  94. OT 0:33Goal by Killorn (Cirelli)3v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cirelli · TOR Marner, Matthews, Sandin

  95. OT 0:33Period end4v4
  96. OT 0:33Final