Sat, Dec 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
35%
50%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:59 | 0.00 | 62.4% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:08 | 0.25 | 78.3% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:51 | 0.74 | 60.4% | +51.2 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:00 | 0.21 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:10 | 0.72 | 46.3% | +25.7 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 8 | 20:09 | 1.09 | 44.8% | +25.7 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.55 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.00 | 37.0% | +25.7 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.09 | 69.8% | +21.8 |
 Victor MeteD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.01 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:35 | 0.13 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.16 | 55.8% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.16 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
 Mac HollowellD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 0.03 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:13 | 0.03 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.15 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | O | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.73 | −0.3 | 60:33 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:00 | 0.18 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:38 | 0.03 | 32.0% | +25.3 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.43 | 35.1% | +28.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:44 | 0.05 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.41 | 59.7% | +28.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.35 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.04 | 53.0% | +21.7 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.02 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.10 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.39 | 57.6% | +48.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.29 | 41.6% | +53.3 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:51 | 0.34 | 62.1% | +69.7 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:13 | 0.32 | 45.3% | +21.7 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:56 | 0.02 | 45.0% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 8:48 | 0.35 | 71.6% | +25.3 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:28 | 0.26 | 60.6% | 0.0 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:49 | 0.14 | 55.8% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 4.32 | +1.3 | 60:12 |