Sat, Dec 3, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
35%
50%
TBL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | Tavares–Marner–Robertson | Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf | Simmonds–Aston-Reese–Holmberg | Tavares–Kerfoot–Robertson | Nylander–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Bunting | Kerfoot–Aston-Reese–Kampf | Giordano–Holl | Liljegren–Sandin | Mete–Hollowell | Holl–Liljegren | Holl–Mete | Holl–Sandin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 2:560.04–0.09 | 4:560.24–0.20 | 3:420.03–0.19 | 4:360.07–0.01 | 1:300.20–0.04 | |||||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Paul | 2:310.23–0.05 | 1:030.13–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:500.06–0.04 | 0:340.11–0.00 | 2:360.03–0.05 | 2:200.39–0.04 | 0:420.11–0.00 | |||||
| Maroon–Namestnikov–Cirelli | 1:120.24–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.07 | 1:160.14–0.15 | 2:130.11–0.07 | ||||||||||
| Namestnikov–Cirelli–Colton | 0:330.09–0.00 | 1:510.04–0.00 | 1:400.02–0.00 | 0:330.09–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | 0:400.00–0.21 | 1:330.33–0.01 | 1:090.08–0.12 | 1:160.24–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 0:560.00–0.06 | |||||||||||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Paul | 0:340.08–0.00 | 0:440.08–0.17 | ||||||||||||
| Perry–Bellemare–Colton | 0:300.00–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Cole–Cernak | 7:460.95–0.68 | 1:090.00–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:380.08–0.00 | 0:500.06–0.04 | 4:240.20–0.50 | 3:090.20–0.17 | 3:040.61–0.10 | 0:440.09–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 0:430.00–0.00 | 4:290.08–0.36 | 1:230.04–0.00 | 3:400.02–0.15 | 3:140.10–0.12 | 1:270.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Bogosian–Perbix | 1:120.02–0.16 | 1:540.24–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:090.02–0.17 | 1:160.24–0.06 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:300.11–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.10 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:300.11–0.00 | ||||||||
| Cole–Sergachev | 1:340.17–0.00 | 1:310.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 0:530.00–0.06 | |||||||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Bogosian–Sergachev | 0:340.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Justin HollTOR | 27 | 25:59 | 0:58 | 2:16 | 3 | 7 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 29 | 25:08 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 4 | 7 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 25:00 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 5 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 29 | 24:38 | 0:51 | 1:54 | 7 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 22:45 | 0:59 | 1:58 | 5 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 21:51 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 5 | 7 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 28 | 21:44 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 3 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 24 | 21:44 | 0:54 | 1:50 | 5 | 7 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 21:43 | 1:02 | 2:12 | 4 | 0 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 28 | 21:00 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 6 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 20:10 | 1:04 | 2:24 | 7 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 20:09 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 7 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 23 | 19:45 | 0:52 | 2:56 | 1 | 5 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 29 | 19:24 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 23 | 19:18 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 0 | 3 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 26 | 19:11 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 6 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 18 | 17:26 | 0:58 | 2:07 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 21 | 15:26 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 18 | 15:09 | 0:51 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 14:10 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 1 | 7 |
 Victor MeteTOR | 20 | 13:36 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 4 | 2 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 2 | 4 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 19 | 13:21 | 0:42 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 18 | 13:15 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 19 | 12:51 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 17 | 12:46 | 0:45 | 1:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 15 | 10:24 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 15 | 10:13 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Mac HollowellTOR | 17 | 10:10 | 0:36 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 14 | 10:08 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 0 | 4 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 12 | 8:56 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 1 | 5 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 12 | 8:48 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 11 | 8:28 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 10 | 7:49 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 0 | 6 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 10 | 7:13 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 9 | 6:50 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 0 |