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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 8, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:16Goal by Point (Cole, Cernak)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Point, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Gross, Parssinen

  4. P1 2:22Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  5. P1 2:26Niederreiter: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Perbix · NSH Josi, Jankowski, McCarron, Trenin, Gross

  6. P1 2:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros5v4
  7. P1 2:53Goal by Perry (Stamkos, Hedman)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Hagel · NSH Ekholm, Jankowski, Trenin, Carrier

  8. P1 5:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  9. P1 6:07Shot by Foote, saved by Saros
  10. P1 9:25Lauzon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Point, Cirelli, Hagel, Foote · NSH Duchene, Granlund, Lauzon, Fabbro, Parssinen

  11. P1 10:51Goal by Jankowski, unassisted5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Cirelli, Sergachev · NSH Ekholm, Jankowski, Trenin, Fabbro

  12. P1 12:36Shot by Granlund, saved by Elliott
  13. P1 12:39Maroon: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Perbix · NSH Duchene, Granlund, Lauzon, Fabbro, Parssinen

  14. P1 14:42Shot by Maroon, saved by Saros
  15. P1 15:18Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
  16. P1 19:13Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  17. P1 19:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros
  18. P1 19:55Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Elliott
  19. P1 19:58Shot by Lauzon, saved by Elliott
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:49Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott
  23. P2 1:51Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  24. P2 5:18Shot by Ekholm, saved by Elliott
  25. P2 5:28Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Elliott
  26. P2 5:46Shot by Fabbro, saved by Elliott
  27. P2 6:16Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott
  28. P2 9:10Foote: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Sergachev, Foote · NSH Duchene, Lauzon, Fabbro, Parssinen, Smith

  29. P2 9:10Smith: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Sergachev, Foote · NSH Duchene, Lauzon, Fabbro, Parssinen, Smith

  30. P2 9:26Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott
  31. P2 9:51Shot by Parssinen, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 10:16Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
  33. P2 10:51Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
  34. P2 11:48Shot by Fabbro, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 12:09Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  36. P2 12:33Shot by Carrier, saved by Elliott
  37. P2 12:36Goal by Carrier (Forsberg, Niederreiter)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Point, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Niederreiter, Forsberg, Carrier

  38. P2 13:54Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
  39. P2 14:50Shot by Jeannot, saved by Elliott
  40. P2 15:00Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 15:02Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 15:40Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 15:44Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  44. P2 16:33Shot by Fabbro, saved by Elliott
  45. P2 17:21Shot by Cole, saved by Saros
  46. P2 19:53Shot by Paul, saved by Saros
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:32Shot by Gross, saved by Elliott
  50. P3 2:14Goal by Point (Cirelli, Kucherov)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Cirelli · NSH Josi, Duchene, Granlund, Gross, Parssinen

  51. P3 2:54Shot by Trenin, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 3:30Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Elliott
  53. P3 5:09Shot by McCarron, saved by Elliott
  54. P3 5:19Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott
  55. P3 5:39Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Elliott
  56. P3 5:49Shot by Trenin, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 7:10Goal by Paul (Stamkos)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Paul, Perbix · NSH Duchene, Granlund, Lauzon, Fabbro, Parssinen

  58. P3 7:40Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  59. P3 7:42Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  60. P3 7:54Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
  61. P3 8:48Shot by Ekholm, saved by Elliott
  62. P3 9:21Shot by Paul, saved by Saros
  63. P3 10:04Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott
  64. P3 10:39Shot by Paul, saved by Saros
  65. P3 10:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
  66. P3 11:05Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  67. P3 11:27Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott
  68. P3 11:52Shot by Jeannot, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 12:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
  70. P3 13:09Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Saros
  71. P3 14:08Hedman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix · NSH Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Jankowski, Carrier

  72. P3 14:35Shot by Cole, saved by Saros4v5
  73. P3 15:07Shot by Foote, saved by Saros4v5
  74. P3 15:40Goal by Hagel (Sergachev, Elliott)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · NSH Ekholm, Niederreiter, Jankowski, Sissons, Gross

  75. P3 16:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott
  76. P3 18:07Shot by Trenin, saved by Elliott5v6
  77. P3 18:14Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott5v6
  78. P3 18:19Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott5v6
  79. P3 18:58Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott5v6
  80. P3 19:01Shot by Duchene, saved by Elliott5v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final