Thu, Dec 8, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Nashville Predators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
9%
46%
TBL winsNSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Duchene–Granlund–Parssinen | Johansen–Niederreiter–Forsberg | Johansen–Niederreiter–Smith | Sissons–Trenin–Jeannot | Forsberg–Sissons–Jeannot | Jankowski–McCarron–Trenin | Duchene–Granlund–Jankowski | Jankowski–McCarron–Smith | Duchene–Granlund–Sissons | Jankowski–Trenin–Jeannot | Josi–Gross | Lauzon–Fabbro | Ekholm–Carrier | Josi–Fabbro | Josi–Carrier | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Paul | 1:160.00–0.16 | 3:030.09–0.36 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:450.02–0.18 | 2:170.07–0.33 | 3:010.02–0.01 | ||||||||
| Point–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:150.16–0.00 | 1:410.04–0.00 | 0:420.13–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.00 | 1:450.20–0.00 | 2:260.01–0.07 | 1:300.38–0.26 | ||||||||
| Perry–Namestnikov–Bellemare | 2:470.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.02 | 2:440.00–0.00 | 1:520.02–0.03 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Killorn–Maroon–Colton | 1:490.10–0.02 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:540.11–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 4:230.13–0.01 | 1:080.10–0.02 | ||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.11 | 1:250.05–0.00 | 1:180.03–0.04 | 0:590.08–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 4:050.08–0.24 | ||||||||
| Killorn–Stamkos–Paul | 0:530.08–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.02 | 0:440.07–0.00 | 1:200.07–0.00 | 0:530.08–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Stamkos–Paul–Cirelli | 0:580.01–0.14 | 0:440.01–0.09 | 1:250.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Maroon–Cirelli–Colton | 0:360.00–0.17 | 0:300.00–0.08 | 0:540.26–0.00 | 1:550.26–0.18 | 0:300.00–0.08 | ||||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Cirelli | 0:460.09–0.00 | 0:460.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 1:060.13–0.12 | 3:480.05–0.51 | 2:030.02–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:320.12–0.00 | 0:580.11–0.00 | 0:570.26–0.00 | 4:590.61–0.39 | 3:100.11–0.20 | 5:410.30–0.36 | |||||
| Cole–Cernak | 6:050.25–0.35 | 0:530.05–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:110.03–0.04 | 1:250.02–0.00 | 6:390.27–0.27 | 1:570.16–0.08 | 3:270.08–0.01 | |||||||
| Sergachev–Foote | 2:450.09–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.03 | 2:120.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 4:330.09–0.01 | 4:570.01–0.03 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | |||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:490.07–0.27 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 1:000.10–0.27 | 1:060.00–0.13 | ||||||||||
| Sergachev–Perbix | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.13 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Roman JosiNSH | 28 | 28:01 | 1:00 | 3:16 | 9 | 1 |
 Matt DucheneNSH | 21 | 23:07 | 1:06 | 3:03 | 5 | 3 |
 Jordan GrossNSH | 23 | 22:34 | 0:59 | 3:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 23 | 22:22 | 0:58 | 2:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Mikael GranlundNSH | 21 | 22:20 | 1:04 | 3:00 | 5 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 21:39 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 2 | 7 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 20:42 | 0:54 | 1:28 | 4 | 5 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 25 | 20:05 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 3 | 8 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 26 | 19:39 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 5 | 8 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 19:26 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 4 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 26 | 19:21 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 0 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 19:07 | 0:57 | 1:39 | 6 | 3 |
 Mattias EkholmNSH | 26 | 18:39 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 2 | 11 |
 Filip ForsbergNSH | 23 | 17:51 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 7 | 5 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 23 | 17:16 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 7 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 19 | 16:58 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 6 | 4 |
 Nino NiederreiterNSH | 22 | 16:52 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 8 | 3 |
 Dante FabbroNSH | 23 | 16:44 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 4 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 25 | 16:25 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 5 | 9 |
 Juuso ParssinenNSH | 18 | 16:17 | 0:54 | 3:00 | 4 | 1 |
 Alexandre CarrierNSH | 23 | 16:08 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 1 | 11 |
 Colton SissonsNSH | 20 | 15:38 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 5 | 2 |
 Ryan JohansenNSH | 21 | 15:10 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 9 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 14:57 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 1 | 5 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 16 | 14:51 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 0 | 3 |
 Jeremy LauzonNSH | 22 | 14:19 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Tanner JeannotNSH | 18 | 13:36 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Mark JankowskiNSH | 19 | 13:33 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 0 | 4 |
 Yakov TreninNSH | 17 | 12:55 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 17 | 11:57 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 0 | 5 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 16 | 11:28 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 0 | 5 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 14 | 10:45 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 13 | 9:31 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 3 | 2 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 15 | 9:31 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Cole SmithNSH | 13 | 9:08 | 0:42 | 1:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Michael McCarronNSH | 13 | 6:55 | 0:32 | 0:59 | 1 | 3 |