Fri, Dec 9, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
25%
8%
59%
BUF winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:32 | 0.07 | 62.3% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 23:44 | 0.74 | 38.3% | +76.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:02 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.12 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:14 | 0.07 | 30.3% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:17 | 0.57 | 28.2% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18:52 | 0.54 | 32.2% | +76.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.05 | 54.0% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.10 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.23 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:04 | 0.14 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.43 | 44.5% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.28 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.07 | 43.5% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:47 | 0.03 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:36 | 0.16 | 59.2% | +24.2 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.52 | −0.5 | 61:27 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 26:26 | 0.21 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:04 | 0.04 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:13 | 0.05 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:59 | 0.02 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:03 | 0.40 | 66.1% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:51 | 0.34 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.32 | 66.4% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +47.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.25 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:59 | 0.17 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.18 | 31.3% | +47.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.09 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.00 | 79.6% | +26.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:03 | 0.36 | 62.1% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.07 | 76.9% | +96.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:46 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:20 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:48 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.58 | −0.4 | 61:29 |