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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 10, 2022·UBS Arena, Elmont

Carolina Hurricanes 3, New York Islanders 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.

NYI winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Noesen–MartinookStastny–Necas–SvechnikovTeravainen–Kotkaniemi–JarvisTeravainen–Kotkaniemi–SvechnikovStastny–Necas–JarvisTeravainen–Kotkaniemi–DruryStepan–Noesen–DruryStepan–Svechnikov–DruryStaal–Stepan–MartinookBurns–SlavinSkjei–Pescede Haan–ChatfieldChatfield–Lajoiede Haan–LajoieBurns–Pesce
Bailey–Barzal–Wahlstrom1:040.00–0.011:430.00–0.001:390.00–0.232:310.13–0.083:380.04–0.112:340.03–0.143:260.09–0.28
Lee–Nelson–Holmstrom3:300.01–0.291:360.00–0.002:030.00–0.091:030.00–0.032:080.01–0.255:280.00–0.171:010.00–0.00
Parise–Pageau–Fasching0:360.00–0.001:400.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:580.00–0.002:190.00–0.001:140.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas1:490.00–0.001:120.00–0.271:570.04–0.002:210.14–0.281:050.00–0.05
Martin–Cizikas–Fasching1:170.02–0.000:530.00–0.071:000.00–0.071:200.00–0.001:240.02–0.00
Parise–Clutterbuck–Pageau0:360.00–0.171:470.00–0.000:390.00–0.002:040.00–0.301:080.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Lee–Nelson–Barzal0:400.00–0.011:060.13–0.01
Martin–Barzal–Wahlstrom0:390.17–0.02
Bailey–Fasching–Barzal0:370.00–0.01
Pulock–Salo4:310.00–0.280:480.00–0.002:060.05–0.030:470.00–0.003:130.00–0.195:250.05–0.291:520.00–0.020:510.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:530.00–0.05
Mayfield–Romanov1:140.01–0.002:500.00–0.270:590.09–0.001:580.00–0.000:480.02–0.004:040.02–0.002:510.00–0.281:310.00–0.050:500.02–0.00
Aho–Dobson2:000.00–0.181:060.00–0.001:490.00–0.090:540.00–0.031:210.13–0.003:430.04–0.383:180.13–0.051:410.09–0.000:340.00–0.00
Pulock–Romanov0:370.00–0.001:150.17–0.111:300.00–0.081:540.00–0.000:350.17–0.00
Mayfield–Aho0:330.00–0.011:250.00–0.002:180.00–0.00
Dobson–Romanov0:390.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:480.00–0.191:040.00–0.000:530.00–0.19
Mayfield–Salo0:470.00–0.040:410.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:050.00–0.04
Pulock–Aho0:440.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Mayfield–Pulock1:110.00–0.081:050.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndClutterbuck FMartin FCizikas FFasching FParise FPageau FBailey FBarzal FWahlstrom FNelson FHolmstrom FLee FSalo DPulock DRomanov DMayfield DDobson DAho DSorokin GStaal FNoesen FMartinook FKotkaniemi FTeravainen FSvechnikov FNecas FJarvis FStastny FStepan FDrury FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce DChatfield Dde Haan DLajoie DKochetkov G
NYICARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR2723:070:511:4723
Brent BurnsCAR2823:030:491:4132
Ryan PulockNYI2423:000:582:0012
Brett PesceCAR2621:330:501:4653
Alexander RomanovNYI2021:251:042:1623
Scott MayfieldNYI2021:061:032:1123
Brady SkjeiCAR2620:590:481:4844
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2220:020:551:2522
Mathew BarzalNYI1919:211:012:2940
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2218:290:501:5941
Noah DobsonNYI1918:280:582:5621
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1918:120:571:1222
Martin NecasCAR2218:050:491:2911
Jordan MartinookCAR2217:450:481:3102
Jordan StaalCAR2217:240:471:3104
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2116:360:472:1433
Brock NelsonNYI1816:260:552:2422
Casey CizikasNYI2116:120:462:0025
Robin SaloNYI1816:100:542:0022
Sebastian AhoNYI2015:540:481:1511
Anders LeeNYI1815:480:531:2622
Stefan NoesenCAR2015:340:471:2820
Paul StastnyCAR1814:390:491:2921
Josh BaileyNYI1914:370:461:3620
Oliver WahlstromNYI2014:280:431:3820
Matt MartinNYI1714:080:502:0022
Hudson FaschingNYI1614:050:531:2320
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2013:580:421:0640
Seth JarvisCAR1713:380:481:2030
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2013:120:402:0016
Zach PariseNYI2012:580:391:0613
Simon HolmstromNYI1812:060:401:3013
Jack DruryCAR1412:010:521:2402
Calvin de HaanCAR1611:170:421:1110
Derek StepanCAR118:480:481:1400
Maxime LajoieCAR85:260:410:5910