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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 27, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, St. Louis Blues 4 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Overtime

Home

St. Louis Blues

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Parayko, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 3:08Goal by Holl (Matthews, Giordano)+13 pts WP

    On ice: STL O'Reilly, Schenn, Faulk, Buchnevich, Rosen · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  4. P1 3:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington
  5. P1 6:34Shot by Bunting, saved by Binnington
  6. P1 7:34Goal by Rosen (Brown, Toropchenko)+15 pts WP

    On ice: STL Faulk, Leivo, Brown, Rosen, Toropchenko · TOR Brodie, Kerfoot, Engvall, Timmins, Kampf

  7. P1 7:44Shot by Kyrou, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 8:29Shot by Leddy, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 8:37Shot by Acciari, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 8:39Shot by Saad, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 8:40Holmberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Leddy, Saad, Parayko, Barbashev, Acciari · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner, Holmberg

  12. P1 9:05Shot by Faulk, saved by Samsonov5v4
  13. P1 13:26Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 15:08Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 15:41Shot by Bunting, saved by Binnington
  16. P1 17:44Shot by Saad, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 18:09Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 19:03Goal by Tavares (Marner, Jarnkrok)+19 pts WP

    On ice: STL Leddy, Tarasenko, Parayko, Kyrou, Thomas · TOR Benn, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Liljegren

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington
  22. P2 1:15Shot by Kampf, saved by Binnington
  23. P2 1:19Shot by Engvall, saved by Binnington
  24. P2 2:09Shot by Parayko, saved by Samsonov
  25. P2 3:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington
  26. P2 3:14Shot by Bunting, saved by Binnington
  27. P2 3:39Shot by Kyrou, saved by Samsonov
  28. P2 3:59Holl: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Faulk, Tarasenko, Kyrou, Thomas, Rosen · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner

  29. P2 5:24Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Binnington5v4
  30. P2 5:26Goal by Kerfoot (Jarnkrok, Liljegren)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: STL Tarasenko, Parayko, Barbashev, Kyrou, Thomas · TOR Benn, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Liljegren

  31. P2 6:06Shot by Saad, saved by Samsonov
  32. P2 6:51Shot by Acciari, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 7:39Goal by O'Reilly (Schenn)+15 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bortuzzo, O'Reilly, Schenn, Buchnevich, Mikkola · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  34. P2 7:59Kerfoot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bortuzzo, Tarasenko, Mikkola, Kyrou, Thomas · TOR Benn, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf

  35. P2 8:15Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Samsonov5v4
  36. P2 8:56Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Samsonov5v4
  37. P2 9:30Goal by Faulk (Buchnevich, Tarasenko)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: STL Faulk, Tarasenko, Buchnevich, Kyrou, Thomas · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Marner, Liljegren

  38. P2 11:09Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Binnington
  39. P2 12:04Shot by Engvall, saved by Binnington
  40. P2 12:18Shot by Tavares, saved by Binnington
  41. P2 12:19Leddy: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL O'Reilly, Schenn, Leddy, Parayko, Buchnevich · TOR Brodie, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Timmins

  42. P2 12:55Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Samsonov4v5
  43. P2 13:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Binnington4v5
  44. P2 14:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Binnington
  45. P2 15:16Goal by Jarnkrok (Holmberg, Engvall)+25 pts WP

    On ice: STL Schenn, Tarasenko, Parayko, Mikkola, Kyrou · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Holl, Engvall, Holmberg

  46. P2 15:31Shot by Rosen, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 15:50Shot by Faulk, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 16:49Bortuzzo: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bortuzzo, Tarasenko, Mikkola, Kyrou, Thomas · TOR Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins

  49. P2 16:59Shot by Bunting, saved by Binnington4v5
  50. P2 17:09Shot by Bunting, saved by Binnington4v5
  51. P2 17:10Shot by Bunting, saved by Binnington4v5
  52. P2 19:54Shot by Kampf, saved by Binnington
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:53Tavares: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL O'Reilly, Schenn, Leddy, Parayko, Buchnevich · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Holl, Bunting, Marner

  56. P3 1:02Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Samsonov5v4
  57. P3 1:19Shot by Kyrou, saved by Samsonov5v4
  58. P3 2:25Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Samsonov5v4
  59. P3 3:00Shot by Giordano, saved by Binnington
  60. P3 4:27Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 5:13Goal by Kyrou (Parayko, Thomas)+30 pts WP

    On ice: STL Faulk, Tarasenko, Parayko, Kyrou, Thomas · TOR Benn, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner

  62. P3 5:42Shot by Parayko, saved by Samsonov
  63. P3 7:21Shot by Anderson, saved by Binnington
  64. P3 8:15Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington
  65. P3 8:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Binnington
  66. P3 10:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Binnington
  67. P3 11:07Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Binnington
  68. P3 11:22Shot by Engvall, saved by Binnington
  69. P3 11:35Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Binnington
  70. P3 12:01Shot by Marner, saved by Binnington
  71. P3 12:06Shot by Kyrou, saved by Samsonov
  72. P3 14:41Shot by Timmins, saved by Binnington
  73. P3 15:36Shot by Schenn, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 17:13Shot by Benn, saved by Binnington
  75. P3 18:18Shot by Mikkola, saved by Samsonov
  76. P3 18:59Shot by Parayko, saved by Samsonov
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 1:13Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Samsonov3v3
  80. OT 1:24Kyrou: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)3v3

    On ice: STL Faulk, Tarasenko, Kyrou · TOR Brodie, Liljegren, Kampf

  81. OT 1:24Shot by Brodie, saved by Binningtonother
  82. OT 1:52Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Samsonov3v3
  83. OT 2:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Binnington3v3
  84. OT 3:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington3v3
  85. OT 4:03Goal by Nylander, unassisted3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: STL Faulk, Tarasenko, Thomas · TOR Brodie, Nylander, Matthews

  86. OT 4:03Period end4v4
  87. OT 4:03Final