Tue, Dec 27, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, St. Louis Blues 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
19%
68%
STL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:57 | 0.28 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.07 | 68.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 22:22 | 0.79 | 64.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.00 | 64.4% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:28 | 0.35 | 63.0% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.07 | 43.4% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.00 | 33.4% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 19:37 | 0.74 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.12 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.32 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.36 | 52.0% | +60.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:53 | 0.49 | 51.8% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:00 | 0.14 | 67.2% | +25.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:29 | 0.43 | 70.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.10 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.09 | 50.9% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:42 | 0.07 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.74 | −1.3 | 64:03 |
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 28:03 | 0.17 | 36.9% | +30.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:07 | 0.20 | 50.8% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:30 | 0.04 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 21:37 | 0.41 | 33.2% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.09 | 56.3% | +30.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:02 | 0.22 | 34.3% | +30.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:58 | 0.35 | 31.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.20 | 27.4% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.06 | 30.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.10 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.25 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.10 | 42.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.04 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.45 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.06 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 14.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:20 | 0.00 | 24.6% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:51 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.42 | −0.6 | 64:03 |