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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 27, 2022·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, St. Louis Blues 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nylander–Bunting–MatthewsTavares–Jarnkrok–MarnerKerfoot–Engvall–KampfAnderson–Aston-Reese–HolmbergGiordano–HollBrodie–TimminsBenn–LiljegrenBrodie–HollGiordano–LiljegrenBenn–Holl
Tarasenko–Kyrou–Thomas4:540.19–0.133:250.19–0.172:260.03–0.033:580.01–0.004:160.23–0.132:380.14–0.200:470.07–0.00
O'Reilly–Schenn–Buchnevich5:310.08–0.462:350.05–0.110:440.11–0.014:320.10–0.421:070.02–0.062:300.17–0.060:440.00–0.000:590.06–0.00
Saad–Barbashev–Acciari1:010.18–0.001:460.17–0.001:440.10–0.051:350.11–0.001:380.40–0.002:200.20–0.052:210.11–0.00
Leivo–Brown–Toropchenko1:430.10–0.001:400.00–0.001:380.00–0.391:110.08–0.002:210.05–0.00
Barbashev–Acciari–Toropchenko1:080.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:280.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Buchnevich–Barbashev0:450.00–0.191:270.00–0.37
Schenn–Tarasenko–Kyrou1:050.00–0.45
Saad–Acciari–Toropchenko1:010.00–0.341:010.00–0.34
Leddy–Parayko7:030.17–0.474:450.11–0.471:060.06–0.031:300.07–0.006:130.29–0.234:550.14–0.564:400.22–0.251:230.00–0.170:560.06–0.00
Faulk–Rosen4:490.18–0.231:370.11–0.002:460.10–0.340:530.11–0.003:480.01–0.483:340.26–0.002:510.21–0.000:330.05–0.00
Bortuzzo–Mikkola0:480.00–0.062:490.12–0.001:050.00–0.010:590.05–0.072:500.05–0.002:280.00–0.08
Faulk–Mikkola0:380.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:400.04–0.001:040.00–0.050:380.00–0.001:000.04–0.00
Bortuzzo–Rosen0:520.10–0.000:330.00–0.050:570.10–0.000:500.00–0.08
Faulk–Parayko0:430.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndSchenn FBuchnevich FO'Reilly FThomas FKyrou FTarasenko FBarbashev FAcciari FSaad FBrown FToropchenko FLeivo FLeddy DParayko DFaulk DRosen DBortuzzo DMikkola DBinnington GMatthews FBunting FNylander FKerfoot FEngvall FKampf FTavares FMarner FJarnkrok FHolmberg FAston-Reese FAnderson FBenn DLiljegren DHoll DGiordano DBrodie DTimmins DSamsonov G
STLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL3428:030:502:3034
Justin FaulkSTL3026:070:522:0265
TJ BrodieTOR2924:570:521:3415
Justin HollTOR2522:570:552:0007
Nick LeddySTL2622:300:522:2923
Auston MatthewsTOR2222:221:012:1330
Mark GiordanoTOR2722:060:491:2215
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2521:370:522:1152
Robert ThomasSTL2821:360:461:1454
William NylanderTOR2221:280:592:0540
Jordan KyrouSTL2621:020:492:1162
Ryan O'ReillySTL2420:580:522:3046
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2120:030:572:3956
Mitch MarnerTOR2019:480:592:1565
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2519:400:471:2422
Michael BuntingTOR2019:370:591:5721
Brayden SchennSTL2319:160:501:2035
Conor TimminsTOR2317:320:461:3030
Ivan BarbashevSTL1817:060:571:4911
David KampfTOR2016:130:491:2405
Calle JarnkrokTOR2115:070:431:2966
John TavaresTOR1914:530:471:3773
Brandon SaadSTL1614:280:541:2611
Calle RosenSTL2114:020:401:2461
Jordie BennTOR2113:570:401:1911
Niko MikkolaSTL2213:350:371:0304
Noel AcciariSTL1513:170:531:1902
Pierre EngvallTOR1713:000:461:2913
Robert BortuzzoSTL1712:510:451:4802
Alexander KerfootTOR1811:290:381:0813
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR1410:550:471:2511
Pontus HolmbergTOR1410:550:471:3020
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL119:270:521:2200
Joey AndersonTOR117:420:421:0900
Logan BrownSTL96:200:421:1300
Josh LeivoSTL85:510:441:1100