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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 28, 2022·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Montréal Canadiens

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:55Goal by Killorn (Hedman)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Maroon, Bogosian, Hedman, Cirelli · MTL Anderson, Dvorak, Harris, Xhekaj, Slafkovský

  3. P1 2:38Perbix: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bellemare, Sergachev, Hagel, Perbix · MTL Edmundson, Evans, Richard, Pezzetta, Xhekaj

  4. P1 3:20Shot by Caufield, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  5. P1 3:23Shot by Dvorak, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  6. P1 4:27Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  7. P1 4:37Shot by Guhle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  8. P1 4:45Shot by Cirelli, saved by Allen
  9. P1 6:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Allen
  10. P1 7:07Shot by Harris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 9:33Shot by Pezzetta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 11:12Shot by Caufield, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 11:20Shot by Hagel, saved by Allen
  14. P1 11:29Shot by Perbix, saved by Allen
  15. P1 11:33Shot by Sergachev, saved by Allen
  16. P1 11:55Shot by Paul, saved by Allen
  17. P1 12:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Allen
  18. P1 12:16Shot by Maroon, saved by Allen
  19. P1 12:40Kovacevic: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel · MTL Hoffman, Drouin, Kovacevic, Dach, Xhekaj

  20. P1 12:45Shot by Anderson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  21. P1 13:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Allen5v4
  22. P1 14:09Goal by Point (Kucherov, Sergachev)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · MTL Armia, Evans, Harris, Barron

  23. P1 15:27Shot by Bogosian, saved by Allen
  24. P1 16:40Shot by Perbix, saved by Allen
  25. P1 16:46Perbix: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Perbix · MTL Hoffman, Drouin, Kovacevic, Dach, Xhekaj

  26. P1 17:42Shot by Caufield, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  27. P1 18:31Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:34Shot by Paul, saved by Allen
  31. P2 2:30Shot by Maroon, saved by Allen
  32. P2 3:26Shot by Evans, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 4:35Shot by Armia, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 5:08Shot by Kovacevic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 5:13Shot by Dach, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 5:41Shot by Paul, saved by Allen
  37. P2 6:13Shot by Barron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 6:36Perry: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Maroon, Hedman, Cirelli, Sergachev, Perbix · MTL Anderson, Dvorak, Harris, Barron, Slafkovský

  39. P2 7:21Shot by Cole, saved by Allen4v5
  40. P2 7:28Shot by Bellemare, saved by Allen4v5
  41. P2 8:16Shot by Anderson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  42. P2 9:22Shot by Perbix, saved by Allen
  43. P2 9:34Shot by Perry, saved by Allen
  44. P2 9:35Shot by Perry, saved by Allen
  45. P2 9:46Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Allen
  46. P2 9:51Shot by Bellemare, saved by Allen
  47. P2 11:39Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 13:09Shot by Anderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 13:31Shot by Hoffman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 14:49Shot by Colton, saved by Allen
  51. P2 15:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Allen
  52. P2 16:00Goal by Point, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · MTL Edmundson, Anderson, Dvorak, Guhle, Slafkovský

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:26Shot by Edmundson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 0:33Shot by Sergachev, saved by Allen
  57. P3 0:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Allen
  58. P3 1:59Shot by Harris, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 3:31Shot by Edmundson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 4:23Shot by Guhle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:01Killorn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Paul, Sergachev · MTL Edmundson, Drouin, Suzuki, Caufield, Guhle

  62. P3 8:24Shot by Bogosian, saved by Allen
  63. P3 8:26Shot by Hedman, saved by Allen
  64. P3 8:30Shot by Bogosian, saved by Allen
  65. P3 8:31Goal by Hagel (Bogosian, Hedman)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Bogosian, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel · MTL Hoffman, Drouin, Harris, Dach, Barron

  66. P3 9:12Shot by Hagel, saved by Allen
  67. P3 9:21Shot by Cirelli, saved by Allen
  68. P3 9:57Shot by Bogosian, saved by Allen
  69. P3 10:17Shot by Bellemare, saved by Allen
  70. P3 13:26Shot by Suzuki, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 14:24Shot by Sergachev, saved by Allen
  72. P3 14:54Shot by Richard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 15:43Perry: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · MTL Hoffman, Edmundson, Evans, Pezzetta, Xhekaj

  74. P3 15:43Pezzetta: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Bogosian, Hedman, Namestnikov, Bellemare · MTL Hoffman, Edmundson, Evans, Pezzetta, Xhekaj

  75. P3 17:21Goal by Guhle (Edmundson, Dvorak)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · MTL Edmundson, Anderson, Dvorak, Guhle, Slafkovský

  76. P3 18:32Cole: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Cole, Maroon, Bogosian, Namestnikov, Bellemare · MTL Armia, Anderson, Dvorak, Suzuki, Barron

  77. P3 18:52Sergachev: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · MTL Drouin, Dvorak, Suzuki, Dach, Caufield

  78. P3 18:52Suzuki: High sticking (2 min)3v5

    On ice: TBL Bellemare, Cernak, Sergachev, Hagel · MTL Drouin, Dvorak, Suzuki, Dach, Caufield

  79. P3 19:20Shot by Cirelli, saved by Allen4v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  81. P3 0:00Final4v5