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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 29, 2022·Mullett Arena, Tempe

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Arizona Coyotes 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 55% of the time.

ARI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Goal by Bjugstad, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Gostisbehere, Crouse, Chychrun, Carcone · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  3. P1 0:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Vejmelka
  4. P1 1:48Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vejmelka
  5. P1 6:38Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  6. P1 7:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 7:21Gostisbehere: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Keller, Chychrun · TOR Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  8. P1 9:02Goal by Holmberg (Timmins, Engvall)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Fischer, Moser · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Engvall, Timmins, Holmberg

  9. P1 10:34Välimäki: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Ritchie, Crouse, Välimäki, Hayton, Moser · TOR Giordano, Holl, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Holmberg

  10. P1 10:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  11. P1 11:22Shot by Bunting, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  12. P1 12:20Shot by Timmins, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  13. P1 12:33Goal by Jarnkrok (Timmins, Rielly)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Brown, Crouse, Moser · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Engvall, Timmins, Holmberg

  14. P1 13:23Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vejmelka
  15. P1 14:34Tavares: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Bjugstad, Crouse, Stecher, Carcone · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Marner, Liljegren

  16. P1 14:54Shot by Marner, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  17. P1 15:48Shot by Ritchie, saved by Murray5v4
  18. P1 18:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  19. P1 18:41Shot by Hunt, saved by Vejmelka
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  23. P2 1:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  24. P2 2:37Shot by Nemeth, saved by Murray
  25. P2 2:41McBain: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: ARI Kassian, Nemeth, Keller, Stecher, McBain · TOR Giordano, Holl, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Holmberg

  26. P2 2:41Hunt: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Kassian, Nemeth, Keller, Stecher, McBain · TOR Giordano, Holl, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Holmberg

  27. P2 2:44Shot by Chychrun, saved by Murray
  28. P2 5:08Shot by Fischer, saved by Murray
  29. P2 6:46Marner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Schmaltz, Keller, Chychrun, Hayton · TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Holmberg

  30. P2 6:50Shot by Ritchie, saved by Murray5v4
  31. P2 6:52Goal by Chychrun (Ritchie, Gostisbehere)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Ritchie, Schmaltz, Keller, Chychrun · TOR Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Kampf

  32. P2 7:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka
  33. P2 9:07Hayton: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Brown, Ritchie, Fischer, Hayton, Moser · TOR Giordano, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren

  34. P2 9:07Bunting: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ARI Brown, Ritchie, Fischer, Hayton, Moser · TOR Giordano, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren

  35. P2 10:44Shot by Chychrun, saved by Murray4v4
  36. P2 11:19Goal by Kerfoot (Giordano, Holl)+23 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Gostisbehere, Chychrun, Carcone, Hayton, McBain · TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Bunting, Kampf

  37. P2 11:39Shot by Stecher, saved by Murray
  38. P2 11:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka
  39. P2 12:08Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  40. P2 14:30Shot by McBain, saved by Murray
  41. P2 14:38Shot by McBain, saved by Murray
  42. P2 16:14Shot by Marner, saved by Vejmelka
  43. P2 16:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka
  44. P2 18:59Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Vejmelka
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:20Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Murray
  48. P3 0:31Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka
  49. P3 1:53Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murray
  50. P3 2:02Shot by Boyd, saved by Murray
  51. P3 2:21Shot by Hayton, saved by Murray
  52. P3 2:41Timmins: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Ritchie, Fischer, Stecher, McBain · TOR Brodie, Kerfoot, Hunt, Timmins, Holmberg

  53. P3 2:47Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Murray5v4
  54. P3 4:40Goal by Moser (Välimäki, Hayton)5v4+31 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Boyd, Crouse, Välimäki, Hayton, Moser · TOR Giordano, Marner, Aston-Reese, Liljegren

  55. P3 5:19Shot by Nemeth, saved by Murray
  56. P3 6:47Shot by Giordano, saved by Vejmelka
  57. P3 6:53Shot by Holl, saved by Vejmelka
  58. P3 7:20Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Murray
  59. P3 7:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka
  60. P3 10:24Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vejmelka
  61. P3 13:43Goal by McBain (Crouse, Bjugstad)+32 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Bjugstad, Gostisbehere, Crouse, Chychrun, McBain · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren

  62. P3 14:45Shot by Keller, saved by Murray
  63. P3 15:59Shot by Liljegren, saved by Vejmelka
  64. P3 17:17Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  65. P3 17:38Goal by McBain (Hayton)5v6+8 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Brown, Fischer, Hayton, McBain, Moser · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  66. P3 18:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  67. P3 18:57Shot by Tavares, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  68. P3 18:59Shot by Bunting, saved by Vejmelka5v6
  69. P3 19:11Goal by Hayton, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: ARI Nemeth, Boyd, Fischer, Stecher, Hayton · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final