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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2022·Ball Arena, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:54Shot by Toews, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Makar, saved by Murray
  4. P1 3:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Brodie, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 3:30Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Georgiev
  7. P1 3:35Shot by Brodie, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 4:11Shot by Malgin, saved by Murray
  9. P1 6:28Shot by Marner, saved by Georgiev
  10. P1 6:51Goal by Marner (Jarnkrok, Tavares)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hunt, Lehkonen, Englund, Rantanen, Meyers · TOR Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  11. P1 7:50Shot by Bunting, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 7:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 9:27Goal by Engvall (Kampf, Kerfoot)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hunt, Compher, Englund, Rodrigues, O'Connor · TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, Kampf

  14. P1 9:59Giordano: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Johnson, Malgin, Girard, Meyers · TOR Giordano, Holl, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Holmberg

  15. P1 11:37Shot by Compher, saved by Murray5v4
  16. P1 12:11MacDonald: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Rodrigues, Malgin, Girard, Newhook · TOR Brodie, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins

  17. P1 13:36Shot by Bunting, saved by Georgiev4v5
  18. P1 14:45Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Georgiev
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Engvall, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 17:19Shot by Compher, saved by Murray
  21. P1 17:28Goal by Compher (O'Connor, Rodrigues)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hunt, Compher, Rodrigues, Girard, O'Connor · TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, Kampf

  22. P1 18:01Shot by Giordano, saved by Georgiev
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:08Meyers: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Johnson, Malgin, Girard, Meyers · TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, Kampf

  26. P2 0:34Goal by Bunting (Tavares, Matthews)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Compher, Toews, Makar · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  27. P2 1:16Shot by Liljegren, saved by Georgiev
  28. P2 2:46Shot by Hunt, saved by Murray
  29. P2 3:21MacDermid: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Cogliano, Hunt, Englund, Malgin, Newhook · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  30. P2 5:31Shot by Johnson, saved by Murray
  31. P2 5:40Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 5:44Shot by Brodie, saved by Georgiev
  33. P2 6:27Johnson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Rodrigues, Girard, O'Connor · TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren

  34. P2 7:00Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev4v5
  35. P2 9:06Shot by Holl, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 9:25Shot by Johnson, saved by Murray
  37. P2 9:31Shot by Newhook, saved by Murray
  38. P2 9:32Shot by Newhook, saved by Murray
  39. P2 9:45Goal by Toews (Compher, Malgin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Toews, Malgin, Newhook · TOR Giordano, Nylander, Hunt, Matthews, Liljegren

  40. P2 10:16Shot by Engvall, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 11:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Murray
  42. P2 11:58Shot by Hunt, saved by Georgiev
  43. P2 12:04Shot by Brodie, saved by Georgiev
  44. P2 15:00Goal by Matthews (Nylander)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, MacKinnon, Toews, Rodrigues, Malgin · TOR Brodie, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Holmberg

  45. P2 15:24Goal by Brodie, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Makar · TOR Brodie, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Timmins, Holmberg

  46. P2 15:51Shot by O'Connor, saved by Murray
  47. P2 16:06Shot by Kampf, saved by Johansson
  48. P2 16:31Shot by Malgin, saved by Murray
  49. P2 16:39Shot by Johnson, saved by Murray
  50. P2 17:16Liljegren: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Makar, Newhook · TOR Rielly, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Holmberg

  51. P2 18:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray5v4
  52. P2 19:03Shot by Newhook, saved by Murray5v4
  53. P2 19:32Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Murray
  54. P2 19:40Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Murray
  55. P2 19:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Murray
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:14Shot by Toews, saved by Murray
  59. P3 2:01Shot by Marner, saved by Johansson
  60. P3 3:50Shot by Brodie, saved by Johansson
  61. P3 5:46Shot by Newhook, saved by Murray
  62. P3 6:20Shot by Cogliano, saved by Murray
  63. P3 7:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Johansson
  64. P3 9:30Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · TOR Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf

  65. P3 9:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray5v4
  66. P3 11:53Shot by Hunt, saved by Murray
  67. P3 12:19Shot by Timmins, saved by Johansson
  68. P3 13:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Murray
  69. P3 13:43Shot by Engvall, saved by Johansson
  70. P3 13:47Shot by Engvall, saved by Johansson
  71. P3 14:57Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Murray
  72. P3 16:11Goal by Bunting (Nylander)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews

  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final