Sat, Dec 31, 2022·Ball Arena, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.02 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 20:28 | 0.09 | 50.9% | +7.5 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.33 | 66.2% | +14.4 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.02 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.02 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.11 | 37.6% | +28.3 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.15 | 29.1% | +15.8 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:51 | 1.32 | 50.9% | +13.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.07 | 51.7% | +27.2 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.03 | 54.2% | +14.4 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.05 | 72.7% | +14.4 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.05 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:38 | 0.39 | 69.5% | +14.4 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.22 | 67.2% | +14.4 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.08 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Dryden HuntLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.03 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.21 | +0.2 | 59:39 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:35 | 0.05 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Devon ToewsD · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:34 | 0.19 | 51.6% | +15.4 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:13 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23:04 | 0.17 | 76.4% | +30.1 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 22:19 | 0.19 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.06 | 17.5% | +14.7 |
 Mikko RantanenRW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:35 | 0.07 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.09 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Erik JohnsonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:27 | 0.07 | 73.8% | 0.0 |
 Logan O'ConnorRW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.17 | 54.9% | +14.7 |
 Alex NewhookC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 14:13 | 0.68 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoglianoC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.09 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Denis MalginC · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.27 | 82.9% | +15.4 |
 Andreas EnglundD · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.02 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Brad HuntD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:13 | 0.03 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Ben MeyersC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.06 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
 Jacob MacDonaldD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:13 | 0.03 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Kurtis MacDermidLW · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:59 | 0.00 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | – | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.66 | +0.7 | 23:15 |
 Alexandar Georgiev#40 | L | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 1.53 | −3.5 | 35:24 |