Sat, Dec 31, 2022·Ball Arena, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
COL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf | Tavares–Jarnkrok–Marner | Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | Hunt–Aston-Reese–Holmberg | Kerfoot–Aston-Reese–Kampf | Nylander–Hunt–Matthews | Giordano–Holl | Rielly–Liljegren | Brodie–Timmins | Brodie–Holl | Giordano–Liljegren | Brodie–Rielly | Brodie–Liljegren | Holl–Timmins | Rielly–Timmins | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Rantanen | 1:420.03–0.01 | 2:110.01–0.01 | 2:510.11–0.08 | 2:230.07–0.00 | 3:300.06–0.09 | 1:220.01–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Compher–Rodrigues–O'Connor | 1:190.05–0.13 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.10 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:180.05–0.13 | 1:170.00–0.10 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Cogliano–Malgin–Meyers | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Compher–Rodrigues–Newhook | 1:250.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:190.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| MacKinnon–Rantanen–Rodrigues | 1:220.00–0.05 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:310.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Cogliano–O'Connor–Meyers | 1:120.11–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.03 | 2:000.11–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Compher–Lehkonen–Malgin | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.00 | 1:190.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Compher–Malgin–Newhook | 0:390.52–0.00 | 0:390.52–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Cogliano–MacKinnon–Rantanen | 0:460.06–0.05 | ||||||||||||||
| Cogliano–O'Connor–Newhook | |||||||||||||||
| Toews–Makar | 2:100.03–0.47 | 2:530.01–0.03 | 4:310.11–0.17 | 1:230.06–0.05 | 2:380.13–0.00 | 6:100.10–0.71 | 2:410.01–0.02 | ||||||||
| Johnson–Girard | 2:420.11–0.01 | 3:030.04–0.15 | 1:240.04–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:240.11–0.00 | 3:380.15–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.01 | 0:450.04–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.15 | ||||
| Hunt–Englund | 1:070.02–0.13 | 1:150.00–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:300.15–0.00 | 1:560.02–0.31 | 1:430.15–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Girard–Makar | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Johnson–Toews | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:440.04–0.01 | 0:390.52–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.12 | 0:390.52–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Johnson–Englund | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:010.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Toews–Girard | |||||||||||||||
| Hunt–Toews | 0:540.06–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
COLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 30 | 25:35 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 5 | 7 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 29 | 24:34 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 3 | 7 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 30 | 23:13 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 2 | 2 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 26 | 23:04 | 0:53 | 2:03 | 4 | 5 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 25 | 22:19 | 0:54 | 2:04 | 6 | 3 |
 Evan RodriguesCOL | 27 | 22:11 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin HollTOR | 27 | 21:45 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 0 | 5 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 25 | 20:35 | 0:49 | 2:03 | 6 | 3 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 25 | 20:28 | 0:49 | 2:01 | 1 | 5 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 24 | 20:06 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 31 | 19:27 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 0 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 19:20 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 6 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 19:03 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 27 | 17:45 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 1 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 20 | 17:42 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 5 | 0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 23 | 17:24 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 2 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 17:14 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 6 | 0 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 20 | 16:51 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 4 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 16:28 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 6 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 22 | 16:05 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 4 | 2 |
 David KampfTOR | 24 | 15:55 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 0 | 7 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 22 | 15:54 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 23 | 14:58 | 0:39 | 1:35 | 0 | 2 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 20 | 14:38 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 23 | 14:34 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 0 | 4 |
 Alex NewhookCOL | 20 | 14:13 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 2 | 1 |
 Andrew CoglianoCOL | 22 | 13:10 | 0:36 | 1:43 | 0 | 4 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 19 | 12:20 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 0 | 1 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 18 | 11:30 | 0:38 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Denis MalginCOL | 16 | 11:24 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 0 | 4 |
 Andreas EnglundCOL | 15 | 11:14 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 0 | 0 |
 Brad HuntCOL | 15 | 10:13 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben MeyersCOL | 16 | 9:27 | 0:35 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Dryden HuntTOR | 16 | 9:26 | 0:35 | 0:54 | 2 | 0 |
 Jacob MacDonaldCOL | 8 | 5:13 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Kurtis MacDermidCOL | 7 | 3:59 | 0:34 | 0:46 | 1 | 0 |