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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 1, 2023·Prudential Center, Newark

Carolina Hurricanes 5, New Jersey Devils 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 77% of the time.

NJD winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NJD forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stastny–Necas–SvechnikovStaal–Fast–MartinookTeravainen–Aho–JarvisStepan–Noesen–KotkaniemiSkjei–PesceBurns–Slavinde Haan–Chatfield
Haula–Hughes–Mercer1:530.00–0.053:390.09–0.403:210.42–0.200:300.00–0.003:400.24–0.434:520.19–0.041:200.00–0.17
Tatar–Bratt–Hischier5:010.26–0.240:390.00–0.002:090.16–0.004:370.23–0.073:130.19–0.17
Wood–McLeod–Thompson5:120.10–0.290:520.00–0.082:110.04–0.002:280.08–0.171:520.04–0.20
Boqvist–Zetterlund–Sharangovich0:350.00–0.010:480.00–0.003:250.19–0.271:110.00–0.031:110.00–0.393:340.19–0.00
Tatar–Bratt–Hughes0:460.07–0.001:050.00–0.000:340.07–0.00
McLeod–Boqvist–Mercer0:360.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Wood–Hughes–Mercer0:420.00–0.010:500.00–0.01
Hamilton–Siegenthaler4:280.21–0.393:110.02–0.283:010.03–0.010:490.00–0.005:280.12–0.475:130.14–0.201:080.00–0.00
Severson–Graves2:000.05–0.031:580.00–0.102:040.37–0.174:450.37–0.221:520.05–0.100:350.01–0.00
Smith–Severson0:390.00–0.012:260.08–0.170:500.00–0.031:350.08–0.001:310.00–0.012:280.08–0.051:420.08–0.12
Graves–Bahl1:260.00–0.030:300.00–0.001:390.00–0.031:140.00–0.081:180.00–0.001:460.00–0.151:570.00–0.11
Smith–Bahl0:540.09–0.010:420.00–0.002:080.11–0.121:450.09–0.010:460.15–0.001:450.11–0.12
Severson–Siegenthaler0:580.00–0.051:190.03–0.05
Hamilton–Graves0:550.10–0.000:420.00–0.00
Hamilton–Severson0:330.00–0.010:440.00–0.02
Graves–Siegenthaler0:310.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndThompson FMcLeod FWood FHaula FHughes FMercer FHischier FBratt FTatar FZetterlund FBoqvist FSharangovich FSmith DSeverson DHamilton DSiegenthaler DGraves DBahl DBlackwood GStaal FMartinook FFast FStastny FSvechnikov FNecas FTeravainen FAho FJarvis FKotkaniemi FStepan FNoesen FBurns DSlavin DPesce DSkjei DChatfield Dde Haan DRaanta G
NJDCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brent BurnsCAR3125:470:502:1564
Brett PesceCAR3124:470:481:5373
Damon SeversonNJD3224:290:461:2326
Dougie HamiltonNJD2923:460:491:5053
Jaccob SlavinCAR3022:320:451:2246
Jack HughesNJD2822:220:482:0463
Brady SkjeiCAR3121:450:421:2393
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD2921:440:451:4358
Sebastian AhoCAR2520:170:491:4342
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2419:540:502:0361
Dawson MercerNJD2819:520:431:4176
Martin NecasCAR2319:230:512:03101
Nico HischierNJD2818:580:411:3058
Erik HaulaNJD2918:560:391:3867
Brendan SmithNJD1718:381:063:0406
Ryan GravesNJD2518:030:431:3614
Jesper BrattNJD2517:550:431:3047
Tomas TatarNJD2517:210:421:3036
Jordan StaalCAR2716:560:381:1367
Seth JarvisCAR2016:490:501:2511
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2115:580:461:2513
Jordan MartinookCAR2415:520:401:1566
Paul StastnyCAR1915:240:491:2562
Michael McLeodNJD2214:590:411:4336
Yegor SharangovichNJD1614:160:541:4610
Jesper FastCAR2114:010:401:0963
Kevin BahlNJD1712:480:451:1023
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1712:450:451:2252
Miles WoodNJD1712:440:452:0122
Calvin de HaanCAR1712:230:441:2251
Stefan NoesenCAR1611:350:431:4351
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1411:070:481:2522
Fabian ZetterlundNJD1311:000:511:3410
Jesper BoqvistNJD1310:240:481:2120
Derek StepanCAR149:450:421:0931
Tyce ThompsonNJD117:250:401:0912