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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 1, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

1

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Krebs, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 0:47Goal by Stützle (Giroux)+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  4. P1 1:52Shot by Jost, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 2:05Shot by Kastelic, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 3:19Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 3:27Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 3:32Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 4:42Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 5:27Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 7:31Shot by Chabot, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 8:06Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 8:58Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 11:32Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 12:21Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 14:15Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 16:45Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 17:29Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 17:43Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg
  20. P1 17:58Shot by Quinn, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 18:14Holden: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, DeBrincat, Batherson, Kastelic, Bernard-Docker · BUF Clague, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  22. P1 18:34Hamonic: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Watson, Kelly, Sanderson · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  23. P1 0:00Period end3v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:42Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  26. P2 0:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  27. P2 0:51Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 1:51Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Forsberg
  29. P2 2:36Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 2:57Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 3:23Shot by Hamonic, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 4:13Chabot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Chabot, Gambrell, Kelly, Lucchini · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Thompson, Power

  33. P2 4:20Shot by Peterka, saved by Forsberg4v5
  34. P2 4:47Shot by Quinn, saved by Forsberg4v5
  35. P2 6:51Goal by Girgensons (Samuelsson, Lyubushkin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin, Krebs

  36. P2 8:42Shot by Chabot, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 9:28Shot by Chabot, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 9:44Shot by Batherson, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 9:58Shot by Batherson, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 9:59Cozens: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, DeBrincat, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Pinto · BUF Clague, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  41. P2 11:45Goal by Lucchini (Brassard, Giroux)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Brassard, Lucchini, Pinto, Sanderson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin

  42. P2 12:49Shot by Krebs, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 14:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 14:55Shot by Pinto, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 15:36Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  46. P2 16:15Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  47. P2 16:45Shot by Jost, saved by Forsberg
  48. P2 17:00Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  49. P2 18:00Shot by Quinn, saved by Forsberg
  50. P2 18:08Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 19:26Shot by Batherson, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:48Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 2:00Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 2:08Shot by Brassard, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 3:02Shot by Batherson, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 3:58Shot by Batherson, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 4:41Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 5:05Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 5:53Shot by Jost, saved by Forsberg
  62. P3 6:49Shot by Power, saved by Forsberg
  63. P3 6:59Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 8:19Shot by Gambrell, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 10:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Forsberg
  66. P3 10:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 11:53Shot by Sanderson, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 12:29Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 12:47Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  70. P3 13:46Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  71. P3 14:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  72. P3 14:17Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  73. P3 14:29Shot by Clague, saved by Forsberg
  74. P3 14:47Shot by Pinto, saved by Anderson
  75. P3 17:58Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  76. P3 18:49Goal by Stützle (Chabot)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Holden, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Power

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final