Sun, Jan 1, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.
54%
8%
30%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | Olofsson–Jost–Mittelstadt | Olofsson–Mittelstadt–Cozens | Jost–Quinn–Peterka | Okposo–Girgensons–Jost | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Clague–Power | Bryson–Lyubushkin | Dahlin–Power | Samuelsson–Power | Bryson–Dahlin | Bryson–Power | Clague–Dahlin | Clague–Samuelsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | 7:000.51–0.49 | 1:120.00–0.05 | 1:400.20–0.00 | 0:520.13–0.01 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 4:370.43–0.29 | 2:560.31–0.11 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:140.07–0.26 | 0:510.02–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||
| DeBrincat–Batherson–Pinto | 6:040.35–0.15 | 2:140.22–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 3:220.14–0.08 | 3:210.11–0.04 | 0:590.02–0.06 | 1:140.21–0.06 | 0:510.12–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gambrell–Kelly–Lucchini | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:390.13–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.08 | 1:550.37–0.00 | 1:280.03–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 2:010.19–0.01 | 1:170.37–0.00 | 1:180.12–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.17 | ||||||
| Brassard–Watson–Kastelic | 0:500.00–0.01 | 2:540.20–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.11 | 1:060.15–0.00 | 1:380.08–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| DeBrincat–Batherson–Stützle | 0:420.00–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||||
| DeBrincat–Gambrell–Batherson | ||||||||||||||||
| Watson–Gambrell–Kelly | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Chabot–Zub | 3:280.44–0.23 | 3:070.00–0.10 | 3:240.32–0.00 | 2:490.37–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 4:100.31–0.15 | 3:370.32–0.06 | 2:310.19–0.00 | 2:560.37–0.13 | 1:290.02–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 0:310.04–0.00 | |||
| Hamonic–Sanderson | 5:180.07–0.30 | 4:230.35–0.07 | 1:390.17–0.00 | 1:580.13–0.03 | 4:380.31–0.22 | 3:310.03–0.17 | 2:080.05–0.06 | 1:420.07–0.06 | 1:380.21–0.06 | 1:040.12–0.00 | 0:510.11–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||
| Holden–Bernard-Docker | 0:520.00–0.04 | 2:190.00–0.20 | 1:350.17–0.11 | 3:340.20–0.19 | 2:560.00–0.15 | 2:350.23–0.24 | 0:580.05–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 1:290.00–0.17 | |||||||
| Bernard-Docker–Zub | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.08 | 0:320.00–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Holden–Hamonic | 0:330.00–0.19 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 1:300.00–0.22 | |||||||||||||
| Chabot–Sanderson | 0:310.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||||
| Holden–Chabot | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 31 | 29:29 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 13 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 31 | 25:15 | 0:49 | 2:17 | 4 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 30 | 23:41 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 8 | 5 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 25 | 23:35 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 2 | 5 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 22 | 23:20 | 1:04 | 2:43 | 0 | 7 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 28 | 21:58 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 0 | 5 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 28 | 21:39 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 0 | 6 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 28 | 21:21 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 4 | 6 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 19:47 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 8 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 24 | 19:39 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 8 | 0 |
 Alex DeBrincatOTT | 23 | 18:49 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 18:34 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 9 | 1 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 24 | 18:09 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 4 | 1 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 25 | 17:27 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 5 | 6 |
 Kale ClagueBUF | 25 | 17:22 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 29 | 16:57 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 3 | 8 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 21 | 16:42 | 0:48 | 2:11 | 5 | 3 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 24 | 15:30 | 0:39 | 1:59 | 0 | 7 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 15:24 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 2:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 22 | 15:05 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 2 | 5 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 18 | 14:53 | 0:50 | 1:49 | 7 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 21 | 14:26 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 2 | 5 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 20 | 14:14 | 0:43 | 2:00 | 0 | 1 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 21 | 14:01 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 6 | 1 |
 Jake LucchiniOTT | 19 | 13:39 | 0:43 | 2:29 | 0 | 5 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 18 | 13:36 | 0:45 | 1:59 | 8 | 2 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 16 | 12:49 | 0:48 | 2:28 | 2 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 12:20 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 19 | 12:10 | 0:38 | 1:20 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 12 | 11:36 | 0:58 | 1:55 | 2 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 14 | 11:33 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 1 | 2 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 14 | 9:44 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 19 | 8:12 | 0:26 | 0:56 | 1 | 9 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 13 | 7:45 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 11 | 7:21 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |