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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 3, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 5, Washington Capitals 4 (OT)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

5

Final

Overtime

Home

Washington Capitals

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 59% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:27Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 3:01Shot by Johansson, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 3:44Shot by Clague, saved by Kuemper
  5. P1 7:39Shot by Tuch, saved by Kuemper
  6. P1 8:03Shot by Okposo, saved by Kuemper
  7. P1 9:13Shot by Peterka, saved by Kuemper
  8. P1 9:41Shot by Oshie, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 10:26Shot by Protas, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 10:48Goal by Tuch (Thompson, Skinner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Protas · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  11. P1 12:07Goal by Milano (Mantha, Irwin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Irwin, Kuznetsov, Mantha, Milano, Fehérváry · BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  12. P1 13:17Shot by Thompson, saved by Kuemper
  13. P1 13:38Shot by Girgensons, saved by Kuemper
  14. P1 15:02Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 15:13Shot by Eller, saved by Luukkonen
  16. P1 15:35Shot by Quinn, saved by Kuemper
  17. P1 15:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 16:57Oshie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Eller, Orlov, Jensen · BUF Okposo, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Krebs, Power

  19. P1 17:00Shot by Tuch, saved by Kuemper4v5
  20. P1 17:29Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Cozens)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Jensen, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  21. P1 19:20Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:50Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen
  25. P2 4:41Shot by Johansson, saved by Luukkonen
  26. P2 5:05Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P2 5:50Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Lyubushkin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orlov, Jensen, Dowd, Hathaway, Protas · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin

  28. P2 7:25Shot by Quinn, saved by Kuemper
  29. P2 8:47Shot by Orlov, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 8:48Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 9:26Shot by Power, saved by Kuemper
  32. P2 10:34Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
  33. P2 11:05Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
  34. P2 12:39Shot by Sheary, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 13:44Shot by Peterka, saved by Kuemper
  36. P2 13:53Shot by Protas, saved by Luukkonen
  37. P2 16:19Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 16:46Goal by Ovechkin (Kuznetsov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Sheary · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  39. P2 17:33Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 17:49Lyubushkin: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Johansson, Gustafsson, van Riemsdyk, Hathaway, Strome · BUF Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  41. P2 18:48Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:54Shot by Milano, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P3 0:55Goal by Dowd (Milano, Jensen)+28 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Dowd, Gustafsson, van Riemsdyk, Milano · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Clague, Krebs, Power

  46. P3 1:21Shot by Oshie, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P3 2:59Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 3:01Shot by Sheary, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P3 3:15Shot by Okposo, saved by Kuemper
  50. P3 3:45Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Kuemper
  51. P3 4:38Shot by Milano, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 4:42Shot by Milano, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 7:03Shot by Mantha, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 7:10Goal by Ovechkin (Sheary)+26 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Gustafsson, Sheary, van Riemsdyk · BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  55. P3 8:29Shot by Quinn, saved by Kuemper
  56. P3 8:32Shot by Peterka, saved by Kuemper
  57. P3 8:34Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
  58. P3 8:37Shot by Thompson, saved by Kuemper
  59. P3 9:21Shot by Eller, saved by Luukkonen
  60. P3 11:37Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kuemper
  61. P3 11:42Goal by Jost (Mittelstadt, Power)+29 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Johansson, Irwin, Strome, Fehérváry, Protas · BUF Jost, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Quinn, Power

  62. P3 13:20Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Luukkonen
  63. P3 18:00Kuznetsov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Sheary · BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  64. P3 19:33Shot by Skinner, saved by Kuemper4v5
  65. P3 19:43Eller: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Eller, Jensen, Dowd, van Riemsdyk · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  66. P3 19:57Shot by Skinner, saved by Kuemper3v5
  67. P3 0:00Period end3v5
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 1:34Shot by Tuch, saved by Kuemper3v4
  70. OT 2:18Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Luukkonen4v4
  71. OT 2:42Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Luukkonen3v3
  72. OT 3:00Goal by Thompson (Tuch)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Gustafsson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Power

  73. OT 3:00Period end4v4
  74. OT 3:00Final