Tue, Jan 3, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 5, Washington Capitals 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
8%
32%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 27:58 | 0.00 | 36.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.02 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.01 | 46.6% | +29.4 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 19:56 | 0.61 | 29.2% | +97.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 18:51 | 0.26 | 25.1% | +83.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.14 | 30.9% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.06 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.06 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:53 | 0.47 | 60.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.08 | 32.1% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.34 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.15 | 27.7% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.00 | 52.2% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:33 | 0.20 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.01 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:38 | 0.23 | 57.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.15 | −0.8 | 63:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:27 | 0.04 | 82.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.25 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:01 | 0.00 | 56.8% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.24 | 68.5% | +15.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 20:33 | 0.73 | 70.3% | +41.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.17 | 72.0% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 23.4% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.33 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.50 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.05 | 45.5% | +16.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.19 | 55.5% | +27.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 14:55 | 0.25 | 57.5% | +43.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.14 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.14 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 8:44 | 0.13 | 17.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 2.65 | −2.3 | 62:56 |