Tue, Jan 3, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 5, Washington Capitals 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
8%
32%
WSH winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | Olofsson–Jost–Mittelstadt | Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | Jost–Mittelstadt–Quinn | Okposo–Skinner–Thompson | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Clague–Power | Bryson–Lyubushkin | Bryson–Power | Bryson–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuznetsov–Mantha–Milano | 1:230.04–0.01 | 3:250.07–0.02 | 1:530.02–0.17 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 3:420.09–0.28 | 1:050.04–0.00 | 2:390.00–0.03 | ||||
| Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Sheary | 2:480.26–0.00 | 2:350.05–0.14 | 1:210.12–0.00 | 3:450.32–0.15 | 0:470.23–0.00 | 1:420.03–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||
| Ovechkin–Sheary–Strome | 3:330.00–0.20 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:430.17–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.01 | 1:400.14–0.00 | 3:290.16–0.01 | 1:300.01–0.23 | ||||
| Oshie–Eller–Johansson | 2:100.11–0.00 | 1:120.13–0.00 | 2:480.10–0.27 | 2:080.23–0.00 | 2:200.10–0.27 | 1:560.01–0.00 | |||||
| Oshie–Dowd–Milano | 1:100.00–0.00 | 2:210.28–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.23 | 1:080.03–0.00 | 1:540.25–0.00 | 1:560.28–0.00 | |||||
| Dowd–Hathaway–Protas | 2:490.00–0.21 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.11 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 1:120.07–0.10 | ||||||
| Eller–Mantha–Hathaway | 2:320.04–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:280.04–0.04 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Johansson–Strome–Protas | 0:520.00–0.04 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.04 | ||||||
| Johansson–Hathaway–Strome | 0:460.00–0.01 | 1:130.13–0.01 | |||||||||
| Eller–Mantha–Protas | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gustafsson–van Riemsdyk | 0:580.00–0.00 | 7:170.42–0.21 | 4:530.43–0.02 | 2:480.15–0.03 | 5:280.51–0.00 | 3:000.35–0.00 | 8:080.37–0.26 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||
| Orlov–Jensen | 10:210.66–0.24 | 1:280.05–0.14 | 2:500.22–0.22 | 1:050.05–0.13 | 7:330.50–0.40 | 5:260.38–0.18 | 1:560.04–0.09 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||
| Irwin–Fehérváry | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.01 | 5:330.14–0.02 | 4:220.14–0.55 | 5:510.13–0.18 | 5:170.07–0.26 | 2:100.00–0.00 | 0:380.08–0.00 | |||
| Orlov–Gustafsson | 0:440.10–0.00 | 0:370.10–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 34 | 27:58 | 0:49 | 2:21 | 4 | 8 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 25 | 23:27 | 0:56 | 2:00 | 3 | 8 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 33 | 22:57 | 0:42 | 1:00 | 2 | 8 |
 Erik GustafssonWSH | 23 | 22:26 | 0:59 | 1:49 | 5 | 5 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 26 | 22:01 | 0:51 | 2:34 | 1 | 4 |
 Dmitry OrlovWSH | 28 | 21:57 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Evgeny KuznetsovWSH | 24 | 21:49 | 0:55 | 2:11 | 6 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 30 | 21:44 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 5 | 5 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 25 | 20:33 | 0:49 | 2:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 26 | 19:56 | 0:46 | 2:00 | 6 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 18:51 | 0:45 | 2:00 | 6 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 25 | 18:26 | 0:44 | 2:00 | 6 | 2 |
 Kale ClagueBUF | 25 | 17:20 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 20 | 17:01 | 0:51 | 2:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyWSH | 23 | 16:42 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 5 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 24 | 16:30 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 4 | 5 |
 Matt IrwinWSH | 17 | 16:22 | 0:58 | 2:13 | 1 | 2 |
 T.J. OshieWSH | 23 | 15:55 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 15:53 | 0:50 | 2:00 | 3 | 1 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 15:45 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 15 | 15:35 | 1:02 | 2:52 | 2 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 22 | 15:13 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 4 | 7 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 19 | 15:07 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 2 | 6 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 18 | 15:06 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Anthony ManthaWSH | 17 | 15:05 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 2 | 5 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 21 | 15:01 | 0:43 | 0:59 | 2 | 8 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 24 | 14:56 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 4 | 4 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 18 | 14:55 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 14:33 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 0 | 1 |
 Marcus JohanssonWSH | 17 | 13:45 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 22 | 13:41 | 0:37 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 13:22 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 4 | 5 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 13:06 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 16 | 12:38 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 0 | 1 |
 Garnet HathawayWSH | 18 | 11:54 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 3 | 6 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 12 | 8:44 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 2 | 3 |