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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 3, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

St. Louis Blues

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Justin FaulkD · #720000128:430.0065.7%0.0
Colton ParaykoD · #55022−1124:380.0635.4%+30.4
Nick LeddyD · #4000+1423:220.3758.0%0.0
Brayden SchennC · #10112−1422:491.2742.8%+30.9
Jordan KyrouRW · #25112−1222:380.1125.2%+29.8
Pavel BuchnevichLW · #89011−1322:070.3130.2%+14.5
Robert ThomasC · #180110222:030.1221.2%+15.3
Niko MikkolaD · #77000−1120:160.0244.2%0.0
Brandon SaadLW · #202020318:220.3443.4%+30.4
Ivan BarbashevLW · #49000−1317:130.2146.1%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #520220016:330.0858.4%+30.5
Robert BortuzzoD · #410000013:260.0041.5%0.0
Calle RosenD · #43000−1011:560.0034.8%0.0
Jake NeighboursLW · #630110211:270.3653.9%+15.7
Alexey ToropchenkoRW · #13000009:590.0037.4%0.0
Josh LeivoLW · #17101059:590.5773.8%+15.7
Tyler PitlickC · #9000007:510.009.3%0.0
Nikita AlexandrovC · #59000016:370.0631.0%0.0
Jordan Binnington#50W25205.8002.86−2.165:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1023:530.0047.5%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78011+1121:520.0139.0%+15.4
Auston MatthewsC · #34112+2321:460.4274.3%+30.8
Mark GiordanoD · #550000220:230.0558.2%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88123+2319:590.0968.6%+61.4
Mitch MarnerRW · #16011−2019:390.0665.2%+30.6
Michael BuntingLW · #58213+2519:020.7070.9%+61.3
Justin HollD · #30000018:410.0051.5%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #38000+1218:400.0564.5%0.0
John TavaresC · #91000−2318:070.4773.2%0.0
David KampfC · #64011+1016:410.0026.6%+14.7
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37011+1016:380.0159.0%+15.5
Alexander KerfootC · #15011+1015:390.0049.6%+14.7
Calle JarnkrokC · #19000−1115:030.2071.4%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #47101+1314:450.4155.4%+14.7
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000−1011:150.0025.3%0.0
Dryden HuntLW · #20000−1110:430.2328.7%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12000−119:110.1526.9%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35O32275.8443.88−1.165:00