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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 3, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 66% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Buchnevich–Kyrou–ThomasSchenn–Saad–BarbashevLeivo–Acciari–NeighboursPitlick–Toropchenko–AlexandrovPitlick–Acciari–ToropchenkoParayko–MikkolaLeddy–FaulkBortuzzo–RosenBortuzzo–LeddyFaulk–RosenLeddy–RosenParayko–RosenFaulk–MikkolaFaulk–ParaykoLeddy–Parayko
Nylander–Bunting–Matthews4:010.20–0.013:500.20–0.080:490.12–0.007:020.40–0.163:060.02–0.160:350.06–0.000:340.06–0.000:500.30–0.02
Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf4:540.00–0.073:380.12–0.211:150.00–0.000:380.00–0.021:040.00–0.004:280.02–0.242:480.00–0.111:140.00–0.00
Tavares–Jarnkrok–Marner2:380.07–0.023:240.04–0.141:230.00–0.000:530.05–0.002:500.10–0.004:380.18–0.020:400.00–0.000:390.06–0.00
Hunt–Aston-Reese–Holmberg2:180.19–0.932:400.00–0.001:220.03–0.321:480.00–0.562:030.19–0.061:020.00–0.00
Tavares–Hunt–Marner1:000.03–0.081:000.03–0.08
Brodie–Rielly5:080.18–0.004:170.07–0.261:420.06–0.561:260.00–0.000:470.05–0.005:400.24–0.056:040.17–0.652:260.00–0.110:320.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Giordano–Holl3:230.14–0.104:430.27–0.020:370.00–0.323:110.15–0.024:180.33–0.354:450.16–0.171:190.05–0.001:080.00–0.000:550.09–0.000:380.00–0.00
Liljegren–Sandin3:280.01–0.001:470.27–0.083:590.25–0.143:240.08–0.163:310.01–0.002:220.39–0.130:300.10–0.06
Giordano–Liljegren1:010.03–0.000:530.00–0.08
Giordano–Rielly0:490.00–0.00
Holl–Sandin
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKerfoot FEngvall FKampf FMatthews FBunting FNylander FTavares FMarner FJarnkrok FHunt FHolmberg FAston-Reese FRielly DBrodie DGiordano DHoll DLiljegren DSandin DSamsonov GThomas FKyrou FBuchnevich FSchenn FSaad FBarbashev FAcciari FNeighbours FLeivo FPitlick FToropchenko FAlexandrov FLeddy DFaulk DParayko DMikkola DBortuzzo DRosen DBinnington G
TORSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkSTL3728:430:471:5844
Colton ParaykoSTL3524:380:421:3917
Morgan RiellyTOR2723:530:531:2542
Nick LeddySTL3123:220:451:5923
Brayden SchennSTL2622:490:533:0753
Jordan KyrouSTL2622:380:523:0643
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2722:070:491:4743
Robert ThomasSTL2822:030:472:0153
TJ BrodieTOR2921:520:451:1627
Auston MatthewsTOR2721:460:481:4091
Mark GiordanoTOR2720:230:452:1022
Niko MikkolaSTL3220:160:381:2918
William NylanderTOR2619:590:461:3991
Mitch MarnerTOR2519:390:471:1044
Michael BuntingTOR2519:020:461:3491
Justin HollTOR2418:410:471:3221
Rasmus SandinTOR2318:400:491:3322
Brandon SaadSTL2318:220:481:4444
John TavaresTOR2418:070:451:2732
Ivan BarbashevSTL2017:130:521:4233
David KampfTOR2216:410:461:4715
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2316:380:432:0922
Noel AcciariSTL1916:330:521:1715
Alexander KerfootTOR1915:390:491:2812
Calle JarnkrokTOR2215:030:412:0414
Pierre EngvallTOR2014:450:441:3722
Robert BortuzzoSTL2013:260:401:0624
Calle RosenSTL1811:560:400:5920
Jake NeighboursSTL1511:270:461:0701
Pontus HolmbergTOR1611:150:421:1010
Dryden HuntTOR1410:430:461:0610
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL129:590:501:2410
Josh LeivoSTL149:590:431:1102
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR159:110:371:0600
Tyler PitlickSTL107:510:471:2410
Nikita AlexandrovSTL86:370:501:3110