Sat, Jan 7, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
64%
20%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:50 | 0.04 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:23 | 0.31 | 95.4% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.09 | 57.6% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.33 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.08 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:14 | 0.08 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.24 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.00 | 31.3% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.05 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:31 | 0.15 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.37 | 98.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.23 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.12 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.06 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:18 | 0.04 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.76 | −0.2 | 58:39 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:34 | 0.08 | 47.6% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 0.21 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.12 | 41.3% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.44 | 27.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.00 | 57.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 31.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.16 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.02 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 17:10 | 1.71 | 51.5% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.02 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 58.2% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:19 | 0.49 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.05 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.09 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 59.6% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.10 | 29.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.03 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:39 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 2.19 | +1.2 | 59:28 |