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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 7, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Moritz SeiderD · #53000−1024:500.0471.1%0.0
Jake WalmanD · #96101+1422:230.3195.4%+16.1
Filip HronekD · #170110220:360.0957.6%+16.1
Dylan LarkinC · #710000319:560.3337.9%0.0
Andrew CoppC · #18000−1119:480.0846.3%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #8000−1519:140.0851.8%0.0
Michael RasmussenC · #270000317:390.2451.7%0.0
Olli MaattaD · #20110017:240.0031.3%+16.1
David PerronLW · #57000−1116:300.0534.5%0.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23000−1015:310.1541.5%0.0
Jonatan BerggrenRW · #52000−1015:230.0040.7%0.0
Jordan OesterleD · #82000−1014:110.0022.2%0.0
Oskar SundqvistC · #70000−1213:530.3798.0%0.0
Adam ErneLW · #730000012:460.0082.0%0.0
Joseph VelenoC · #90000−1112:150.2343.6%0.0
Dominik KubalikLW · #81000−2111:290.1238.9%0.0
Pius SuterC · #24000009:300.0684.1%0.0
Elmer SoderblomLW · #85000−108:180.0442.3%0.0
Magnus Hellberg#45L28253.8932.76−0.258:39

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44022+2322:340.0847.6%+32.2
William NylanderRW · #880000421:120.2134.9%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16112+2121:000.1241.3%+18.4
Auston MatthewsC · #34011−1219:580.4427.3%+17.8
Justin HollD · #3011+1019:190.0057.0%+0.6
TJ BrodieD · #78011+1018:370.0031.0%+14.4
Michael BuntingLW · #580000218:330.1632.7%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #370000117:390.0248.9%0.0
John TavaresC · #91202+2717:101.7151.5%+20.8
Rasmus SandinD · #380000216:490.0263.9%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #550110016:380.0058.2%+20.2
David KampfC · #64000−1415:190.4949.6%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15000−1114:150.0567.4%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #47000+1113:540.0974.2%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19011+2012:480.0059.6%+20.2
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29101+119:280.1029.0%+14.4
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12000008:400.0334.8%0.0
Dryden HuntLW · #20000+108:390.0031.5%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35W23221.9572.19+1.259:28