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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 13, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Winnipeg Jets 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 80% of the time.

PIT winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ehlers–Connor–DuboisWheeler–Scheifele–PerfettiLowry–Maenalanen–KuhlmanGagner–Stenlund–Jonsson-FjallbyGagner–Maenalanen–StenlundDeMelo–MorrisseyDillon–PionkSchmidt–SambergSchmidt–MorrisseySchmidt–PionkDillon–DeMeloDeMelo–SambergSamberg–Pionk
Crosby–Rust–Guentzel2:460.08–0.151:560.09–0.093:430.10–0.072:190.02–0.006:200.31–0.172:460.01–0.030:560.01–0.121:240.02–0.00
Malkin–Zucker–Rakell2:570.13–0.282:470.02–0.372:010.02–0.001:020.00–0.120:430.00–0.145:040.13–0.481:400.00–0.000:480.02–0.000:530.03–0.000:470.00–0.02
Carter–Kapanen–O'Connor2:260.05–0.242:220.00–0.131:430.09–0.000:590.00–0.002:390.14–0.202:410.00–0.031:030.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Blueger–McGinn–Heinen1:490.19–0.002:350.01–0.111:050.04–0.001:540.00–0.031:450.19–0.001:100.00–0.012:310.01–0.021:550.04–0.11
Malkin–Rakell–McGinn0:470.08–0.000:310.00–0.000:430.06–0.001:170.08–0.000:580.06–0.03
Malkin–Rust–Guentzel0:510.03–0.000:500.03–0.00
Joseph–Rutta2:350.13–0.193:320.02–0.313:290.04–0.003:050.08–0.131:350.00–0.037:280.14–0.511:050.01–0.021:010.04–0.111:590.06–0.000:310.00–0.000:480.07–0.02
Dumoulin–Friedman4:400.13–0.333:240.02–0.161:440.11–0.001:390.00–0.002:560.23–0.212:130.00–0.003:250.01–0.121:420.02–0.000:530.00–0.02
Ruhwedel–Smith1:160.27–0.062:180.00–0.212:030.05–0.002:210.00–0.010:490.03–0.004:320.23–0.191:310.00–0.030:460.00–0.001:000.00–0.050:510.11–0.000:580.00–0.00
Dumoulin–Smith1:410.00–0.141:150.09–0.122:040.03–0.073:520.12–0.081:000.00–0.110:510.01–0.00
Joseph–Smith0:340.00–0.000:330.02–0.000:560.02–0.00
Ruhwedel–Friedman0:520.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Dumoulin–Rutta0:360.00–0.010:330.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRust FGuentzel FCrosby FZucker FRakell FMalkin FCarter FO'Connor FKapanen FBlueger FHeinen FMcGinn FDumoulin DSmith DRutta DJoseph DFriedman DRuhwedel DTokarski GMaenalanen FLowry FKuhlman FEhlers FConnor FDubois FScheifele FWheeler FPerfetti FJonsson-Fjallby FStenlund FGagner FDeMelo DMorrissey DPionk DDillon DSamberg DSchmidt DRittich G
PITWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG2923:220:481:3373
Brian DumoulinPIT3523:040:401:0739
Ty SmithPIT2822:300:482:0261
Neal PionkWPG3122:110:431:1922
Dylan DeMeloWPG3121:170:411:0766
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2819:430:421:2314
Evgeni MalkinPIT2319:290:512:0632
Jake GuentzelPIT2419:280:491:2244
Jan RuttaPIT2819:240:421:1837
Rickard RakellPIT2418:430:472:0231
Brenden DillonWPG2718:400:411:1320
Bryan RustPIT2518:330:451:1224
Nate SchmidtWPG2518:230:441:4632
Sidney CrosbyPIT2218:110:501:2344
Kyle ConnorWPG2417:430:441:1361
Mark ScheifeleWPG2316:590:441:3572
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2416:570:421:0961
Adam LowryWPG2716:500:371:1215
Mark FriedmanPIT2516:230:391:0806
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2316:080:421:0760
Saku MaenalanenWPG2615:520:371:4022
Chad RuhwedelPIT2015:230:461:4413
Blake WheelerWPG2415:060:381:0263
Karson KuhlmanWPG2414:440:371:0710
Dylan SambergWPG2114:220:411:0931
Cole PerfettiWPG2414:050:351:0462
Jeff CarterPIT2313:530:361:1216
Jason ZuckerPIT2213:450:381:0622
Brock McGinnPIT2113:390:391:4017
Kasperi KapanenPIT2012:450:381:0213
Teddy BluegerPIT1811:450:391:1807
Kevin StenlundWPG1811:330:391:1032
Axel Jonsson-FjallbyWPG1611:160:421:0020
Sam GagnerWPG1610:500:411:0720
Drew O'ConnorPIT1610:490:411:0213
Danton HeinenPIT148:590:391:1802