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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 17, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Florida Panthers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Lundell, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:52Goal by Verhaeghe (Ekblad)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Benn, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Timmins · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  4. P1 2:38Goal by Hunt (Rielly, Aston-Reese)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Rielly, Kerfoot, Hunt, Aston-Reese · FLA Staal, Gudas, Cousins, Mahura, Denisenko

  5. P1 3:07Montour: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Benn, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins · FLA Staal, Montour, Forsling, Lomberg, Smith

  6. P1 4:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  7. P1 4:35Shot by Timmins, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  8. P1 5:03Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  9. P1 7:58Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Bobrovsky
  10. P1 8:09Shot by Lomberg, saved by Murray
  11. P1 8:58Bennett: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Benn, Engvall, Timmins, Kampf, McMann · FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk

  12. P1 9:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  13. P1 10:54Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  14. P1 12:20Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 12:21Forsling: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Marner, Liljegren · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Lundell

  16. P1 12:33Shot by Barkov, saved by Murray5v4
  17. P1 12:34Goal by Lundell (Barkov)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · FLA Staal, Barkov, Ekblad, Lundell

  18. P1 12:47Marner: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · FLA Staal, Staal, Ekblad, Luostarinen

  19. P1 13:32Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  20. P1 13:47Gudas: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Holl, Engvall · FLA Gudas, Barkov, Tkachuk, Mahura

  21. P1 14:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  22. P1 15:09Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  23. P1 15:10Goal by Kerfoot (Jarnkrok, Liljegren)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren · FLA Staal, Montour, Forsling, Luostarinen

  24. P1 15:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P1 16:07Shot by Giordano, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P1 18:04Goal by Mahura (Gudas, Denisenko)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Benn, Kerfoot, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Timmins · FLA Gudas, Cousins, Mahura, Luostarinen, Denisenko

  27. P1 19:41Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Murray
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:05McMann: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf, McMann · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  31. P2 1:41Goal by Barkov (Montour, Reinhart)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Benn, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Liljegren · FLA Barkov, Reinhart, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk

  32. P2 2:31Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 3:11Shot by Staal, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 4:52Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 4:57Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Bobrovsky
  36. P2 5:24Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  37. P2 5:27Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  38. P2 5:34Bennett: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Marner, Liljegren · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  39. P2 8:15Shot by Kampf, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 8:53Lomberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Benn, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Marner · FLA Staal, Ekblad, Forsling, Lomberg, Smith

  41. P2 8:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  42. P2 10:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  43. P2 11:23Shot by Kampf, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P2 11:24Shot by Kampf, saved by Bobrovsky
  45. P2 11:24Shot by Engvall, saved by Bobrovsky
  46. P2 12:26Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 13:08Liljegren: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf, McMann · FLA Staal, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk

  48. P2 14:21Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov4v5
  49. P2 14:46Shot by Ekblad, saved by Samsonov4v5
  50. P2 15:21Shot by Cousins, saved by Samsonov
  51. P2 16:02Cousins: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Benn, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins · FLA Staal, Cousins, Montour, Luostarinen, Denisenko

  52. P2 16:02Matthews: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Benn, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins · FLA Staal, Cousins, Montour, Luostarinen, Denisenko

  53. P2 16:02Bunting: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Benn, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins · FLA Staal, Cousins, Montour, Luostarinen, Denisenko

  54. P2 16:02Staal: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Benn, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Timmins · FLA Staal, Cousins, Montour, Luostarinen, Denisenko

  55. P2 17:34Aston-Reese: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Hunt, Aston-Reese · FLA Gudas, Barkov, Reinhart, Mahura, Lundell

  56. P2 19:16Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov4v5
  57. P2 19:37Shot by Lundell, saved by Samsonov
  58. P2 19:44Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P2 19:45Gudas: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Marner, Aston-Reese · FLA Staal, Gudas, Verhaeghe, Forsling, Lundell

  60. P2 19:57Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Marner)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · FLA Barkov, Ekblad, Forsling, Lundell

  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:34Forsling: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  64. P3 2:10Shot by Forsling, saved by Samsonov
  65. P3 3:05Shot by Hunt, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 4:05Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  67. P3 4:10Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  68. P3 5:59Goal by Nylander (Marner, Giordano)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Timmins · FLA Staal, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Lundell

  69. P3 8:07Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov
  70. P3 8:28Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Samsonov
  71. P3 10:02Shot by Timmins, saved by Bobrovsky
  72. P3 11:25Shot by Engvall, saved by Bobrovsky
  73. P3 11:31Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Bobrovsky
  74. P3 11:52Shot by Tavares, saved by Bobrovsky
  75. P3 12:00Shot by Liljegren, saved by Bobrovsky
  76. P3 19:47Shot by Montour, saved by Samsonov
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 1:53Goal by Nylander (Timmins, Tavares)3v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Marner, Liljegren · FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Forsling

  80. OT 1:53Period end3v3
  81. OT 1:53Final