Tue, Jan 17, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.
75%
13%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 26:23 | 0.15 | 29.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.02 | 53.6% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.13 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.37 | 26.5% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.29 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 8.8% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.42 | 19.9% | +16.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:30 | 0.67 | 52.6% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.01 | 19.0% | +18.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.02 | 26.0% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.03 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.18 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.06 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.08 | 32.2% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:19 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:40 | 0.11 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.71 | −0.3 | 61:53 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:44 | 0.01 | 62.0% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:32 | 0.94 | 64.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:26 | 0.00 | 49.6% | +45.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.05 | 68.6% | +17.1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 20:19 | 0.94 | 62.8% | +93.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.07 | 68.0% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 17:58 | 0.60 | 44.2% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.08 | 45.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.46 | 80.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.34 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.10 | 67.2% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.02 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.33 | 73.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:20 | 0.30 | 77.0% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:13 | 0.30 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:45 | 0.16 | 75.7% | +13.1 |
| – | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 1.23 | −2.8 | 21:41 | |
| W | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.30 | +1.3 | 40:12 |