Tue, Jan 17, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 81% of the time.
75%
13%
TOR winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Verhaeghe–Bennett–Tkachuk | Barkov–Reinhart–Lundell | Cousins–Luostarinen–Denisenko | Staal–Lomberg–Smith | Staal–Luostarinen–Denisenko | Barkov–Tkachuk–Lundell | Ekblad–Forsling | Staal–Montour | Gudas–Mahura | Montour–Mahura | Montour–Forsling | Staal–Gudas | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Jarnkrok–Marner | 3:100.08–0.63 | 2:280.32–0.00 | 1:330.20–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.16 | 4:220.38–0.40 | 3:000.06–0.24 | 1:210.20–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 1:170.28–0.10 | 2:250.00–0.11 | 2:190.00–0.08 | 1:320.07–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.03 | 4:400.28–0.13 | 3:100.00–0.11 | 0:560.08–0.00 | ||||
| Engvall–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 2:180.21–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.08 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:220.21–0.08 | 2:060.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Engvall–Kampf–McMann | 2:410.03–0.08 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Kerfoot–Hunt–Aston-Reese | 1:400.19–0.02 | 0:330.10–0.11 | 2:210.33–0.14 | |||||||||
| Kerfoot–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:220.08–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Kerfoot–Hunt–McMann | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:490.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Liljegren | 6:400.57–0.21 | 2:100.11–0.00 | 1:060.19–0.00 | 1:450.10–0.28 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 5:150.47–0.14 | 3:440.21–0.08 | 4:150.20–0.11 | ||||
| Giordano–Holl | 2:360.00–0.24 | 5:190.23–0.11 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.08 | 3:430.21–0.03 | 4:520.08–0.43 | 1:570.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||
| Benn–Timmins | 0:420.00–0.16 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 4:120.20–0.11 | 1:350.07–0.00 | 2:480.00–0.16 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 3:050.40–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 0:340.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Holl–Rielly | 0:320.00–0.23 | 0:300.00–0.23 | ||||||||||
| Benn–Holl | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 31 | 26:23 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 2 | 8 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 32 | 24:44 | 0:46 | 1:55 | 6 | 1 |
 Brandon MontourFLA | 29 | 23:00 | 0:48 | 2:29 | 8 | 4 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 31 | 22:54 | 0:44 | 1:57 | 1 | 5 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 21:32 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 9 | 1 |
 Aleksander BarkovFLA | 26 | 21:28 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 4 | 10 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 27 | 21:26 | 0:48 | 1:58 | 9 | 4 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 33 | 20:59 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Matthew TkachukFLA | 24 | 20:36 | 0:52 | 2:29 | 4 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 25 | 20:19 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 8 | 1 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 29 | 19:20 | 0:40 | 1:32 | 5 | 6 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 28 | 19:20 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Justin HollTOR | 28 | 18:31 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 6 | 5 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 22 | 18:15 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 3 | 5 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 17:58 | 0:49 | 1:56 | 11 | 0 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 23 | 17:56 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 2 | 9 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 26 | 17:45 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 7 | 0 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 25 | 17:30 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Marc StaalFLA | 28 | 17:07 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 3 | 7 |
 Radko GudasFLA | 21 | 16:37 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 1 | 2 |
 David KampfTOR | 24 | 16:26 | 0:41 | 2:30 | 3 | 6 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 18 | 16:08 | 0:54 | 1:48 | 5 | 1 |
 Josh MahuraFLA | 21 | 14:47 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 5 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 22 | 14:28 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 3 | 5 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 21 | 14:21 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Jordie BennTOR | 20 | 13:56 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 13:52 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Eric StaalFLA | 20 | 12:15 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 16 | 11:20 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick CousinsFLA | 13 | 10:01 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Grigori DenisenkoFLA | 13 | 9:21 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 15 | 9:13 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Givani SmithFLA | 10 | 6:19 | 0:38 | 1:29 | 0 | 2 |
 Dryden HuntTOR | 9 | 5:45 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Ryan LombergFLA | 11 | 5:40 | 0:31 | 1:06 | 0 | 2 |