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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 21, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Calgary Flames 6

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 83% of the time.

CGY winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Andersson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Backlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 3:12Shot by Toffoli, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:26Shot by Colton, saved by Vladar
  6. P1 4:39Shot by Coleman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 4:53Shot by Duehr, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:56Shot by Pelletier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:09Shot by Toffoli, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 5:30Shot by Kucherov, saved by Vladar
  11. P1 8:47Weegar: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Huberdeau, Weegar, Dube · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel

  12. P1 10:07Shot by Sergachev, saved by Vladar4v5
  13. P1 11:34Lucic: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Kadri, Tanev, Weegar, Duehr · TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli

  14. P1 11:34Cole: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Kadri, Tanev, Weegar, Duehr · TBL Killorn, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli

  15. P1 11:49Shot by Stone, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 12:52Shot by Coleman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 14:14Shot by Sergachev, saved by Vladar
  18. P1 15:28Cirelli: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Andersson, Duehr · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Foote

  19. P1 17:47Shot by Duehr, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:52Cernak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lewis, Tanev, Coleman, Weegar, Duehr · TBL Stamkos, Point, Cernak, Cirelli, Sergachev

  21. P1 17:58Goal by Kadri (Toffoli, Andersson)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Toffoli, Huberdeau, Lindholm, Andersson · TBL Cole, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel

  22. P1 18:42Kucherov: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Mangiapane · TBL Perry, Cole, Bogosian, Kucherov, Bellemare

  23. P1 18:42Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)6v4

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Mangiapane · TBL Perry, Cole, Bogosian, Kucherov, Bellemare

  24. P1 19:07Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  25. P1 19:14Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  26. P1 19:20Shot by Andersson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  27. P1 19:54Shot by Andersson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v3
  28. P1 0:00Period end5v3
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:53Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 2:25Shot by Hedman, saved by Vladar
  32. P2 2:28Tanev: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Weegar, Pelletier, Duehr · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Foote

  33. P2 2:55Shot by Kucherov, saved by Vladar4v5
  34. P2 3:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Vladar4v5
  35. P2 4:08Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  36. P2 4:52Shot by Dube, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 5:47Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 5:55Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 5:59Shot by Backlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 6:08Shot by Lewis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 7:22Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vladar
  42. P2 8:09Shot by Lucic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 8:24Shot by Duehr, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 10:20Goal by Stamkos, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Toffoli, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Cirelli, Sergachev, Foote

  45. P2 11:08Goal by Namestnikov (Paul, Maroon)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Huberdeau, Weegar, Mangiapane · TBL Cole, Maroon, Namestnikov, Paul, Cernak

  46. P2 11:40Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vladar
  47. P2 12:16Shot by Lindholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 12:18Goal by Toffoli (Lindholm, Dube)+24 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Andersson, Dube · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Hagel

  49. P2 13:18Kadri: Roughing removing opponents helmet (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Andersson, Pelletier · TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Sergachev

  50. P2 13:35Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar4v5
  51. P2 14:34Shot by Coleman, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  52. P2 15:29Perry: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Dube · TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  53. P2 15:29Zadorov: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Dube · TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  54. P2 15:29Paul: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Dube · TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  55. P2 15:29Dube: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Dube · TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  56. P2 15:29Perry: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Tanev, Zadorov, Mangiapane, Dube · TBL Perry, Killorn, Paul, Cernak, Sergachev

  57. P2 17:07Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P2 17:08Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 17:15Shot by Coleman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 17:20Goal by Andersson (Mangiapane, Backlund)+23 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel

  61. P2 18:21Shot by Cirelli, saved by Vladar
  62. P2 19:03Shot by Cirelli, saved by Vladar
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:22Toffoli: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Toffoli, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Dube · TBL Maroon, Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Foote

  66. P3 1:30Shot by Point, saved by Vladar4v5
  67. P3 2:05Shot by Colton, saved by Vladar4v5
  68. P3 3:02Shot by Bellemare, saved by Vladar
  69. P3 3:30Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 5:31Shot by Tanev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 5:55Shot by Weegar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 6:00Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 7:16Shot by Killorn, saved by Vladar
  74. P3 7:40Goal by Dube (Andersson, Hanifin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Toffoli, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Dube · TBL Killorn, Cole, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli

  75. P3 8:01Shot by Lucic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  76. P3 8:32Shot by Coleman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 9:07Coleman: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Stone, Coleman, Zadorov, Mangiapane · TBL Perry, Cole, Bogosian, Namestnikov, Bellemare

  78. P3 12:36Shot by Perry, saved by Vladar4v5
  79. P3 15:12Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar
  80. P3 15:58Goal by Cirelli (Hedman, Kucherov)5v6+10 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Dube · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  81. P3 16:10Shot by Tanev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 17:04Shot by Perry, saved by Vladar5v6
  83. P3 17:44Goal by Huberdeau (Lucic, Hanifin)5v6+8 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Kadri, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Andersson · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  84. P3 18:44Shot by Colton, saved by Vladar5v6
  85. P3 19:04Shot by Kucherov, saved by Vladar5v6
  86. P3 19:13Goal by Coleman (Hanifin, Backlund)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson · TBL Perry, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final