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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 21, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Calgary Flames 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 83% of the time.

CGY winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Maroon–Paul–ColtonKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliKucherov–Point–HagelStamkos–Kucherov–PointPerry–Namestnikov–BellemareMaroon–Namestnikov–BellemareKillorn–Paul–CirelliNamestnikov–Bellemare–ColtonKillorn–Cirelli–HagelSergachev–FooteCole–CernakBogosian–HedmanCernak–SergachevHedman–SergachevHedman–CernakHedman–FooteCole–Bogosian
Backlund–Coleman–Mangiapane3:000.06–0.250:390.05–0.001:420.48–0.061:060.01–0.000:500.00–0.000:320.20–0.062:180.28–0.361:010.00–0.002:030.13–0.001:200.00–0.060:430.01–0.000:440.41–0.000:340.00–0.00
Lucic–Kadri–Huberdeau1:260.09–0.021:280.00–0.001:310.15–0.000:320.00–0.111:140.00–0.101:370.02–0.004:080.15–0.161:180.07–0.020:390.13–0.00
Toffoli–Lindholm–Dube1:180.00–0.051:140.13–0.002:400.26–0.010:310.00–0.001:310.00–0.001:240.07–0.031:250.01–0.010:480.00–0.051:100.25–0.00
Lewis–Pelletier–Duehr0:340.00–0.001:230.35–0.001:570.02–0.000:530.00–0.000:560.39–0.00
Lewis–Toffoli–Lindholm1:270.08–0.060:380.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:450.08–0.00
Hanifin–Andersson2:080.00–0.254:510.11–0.271:140.33–0.060:580.09–0.000:410.00–0.001:090.24–0.090:470.10–0.001:010.21–0.045:150.24–0.623:350.15–0.030:410.00–0.001:370.00–0.060:540.24–0.000:360.16–0.00
Tanev–Weegar0:300.00–0.001:380.18–0.003:580.16–0.073:230.23–0.081:240.00–0.115:060.19–0.011:170.14–0.002:080.22–0.000:500.08–0.061:120.10–0.080:380.08–0.00
Stone–Zadorov3:540.00–0.142:150.35–0.110:380.00–0.103:000.02–0.002:370.00–0.161:230.34–0.090:450.00–0.05
Weegar–Andersson0:300.25–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLindholm FDube FToffoli FKadri FHuberdeau FLucic FColeman FBacklund FMangiapane FLewis FPelletier FDuehr FTanev DWeegar DAndersson DHanifin DZadorov DStone DVladar GPoint FHagel FKucherov FMaroon FPaul FColton FCirelli FStamkos FKillorn FPerry FBellemare FNamestnikov FHedman DSergachev DCole DCernak DBogosian DFoote DVasilevskiy G
CGYTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus AnderssonCGY3627:550:472:0635
Victor HedmanTBL2925:170:522:0491
Mikhail SergachevTBL2924:440:512:0543
Noah HanifinCGY3223:550:451:2816
Steven StamkosTBL2923:050:482:20121
Nikita KucherovTBL2422:020:552:1092
Chris TanevCGY3621:490:361:2527
Brayden PointTBL2521:250:511:5383
Anthony CirelliTBL2418:550:471:1593
Erik CernakTBL2518:490:451:5634
Alex KillornTBL2118:430:531:4852
Elias LindholmCGY2818:190:391:2849
Nick PaulTBL2118:160:521:1542
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3018:080:361:2033
Brandon HagelTBL2018:030:542:1263
Mikael BacklundCGY2517:480:431:2128
Nazem KadriCGY2217:420:482:0623
Tyler ToffoliCGY2516:260:391:2545
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2216:240:452:0233
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2316:240:431:2613
Nikita ZadorovCGY2415:360:391:0737
Blake ColemanCGY2215:000:411:1513
Dillon DubeCGY2213:560:381:2723
Cal FooteTBL2013:360:411:1012
Trevor LewisCGY2113:130:381:2041
Ian ColeTBL1912:320:401:1213
Ross ColtonTBL1712:140:431:0840
Zach BogosianTBL1711:090:391:0312
Milan LucicCGY1510:570:441:1714
Patrick MaroonTBL1310:390:491:2040
Corey PerryTBL179:460:341:2132
Michael StoneCGY169:120:351:0812
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL158:430:351:1012
Walker DuehrCGY138:340:401:0030
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL137:450:360:5812
Jakob PelletierCGY146:500:290:4920