Sat, Jan 21, 2023·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Calgary Flames 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 83% of the time.
77%
12%
CGY winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 25:17 | 0.18 | 10.7% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:44 | 0.05 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:05 | 0.27 | 32.6% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 22:02 | 0.37 | 13.4% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.41 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.36 | 33.3% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:49 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.12 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.05 | 58.9% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.49 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:14 | 0.30 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.10 | 76.3% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:46 | 0.25 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.10 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 7:45 | 0.28 | 41.0% | +23.1 |
| L | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 4.21 | +0.2 | 58:11 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 27:55 | 0.43 | 67.6% | +56.8 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 23:55 | 0.14 | 63.7% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.05 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.61 | 78.2% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.02 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.09 | 61.9% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.48 | 63.3% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.22 | 57.0% | +43.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:24 | 1.09 | 68.1% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.49 | 50.3% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 15:00 | 1.17 | 64.5% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.05 | 74.0% | +37.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.17 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.19 | 62.4% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.02 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:34 | 0.35 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.23 | 89.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 3.33 | +0.3 | 59:52 |