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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 21, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Carolina Hurricanes 5, New York Islanders 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.

NYI winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Fast–MartinookStastny–Necas–SvechnikovTeravainen–Aho–JarvisStepan–Noesen–KotkaniemiStastny–Noesen–NecasBurns–ChatfieldSkjei–Pescede Haan–Coghlan
Cizikas–Lee–Barzal2:090.00–0.351:420.10–0.003:420.03–0.013:150.10–0.003:410.07–0.231:090.00–0.12
Parise–Pageau–Holmstrom1:260.00–0.053:260.03–0.020:540.00–0.051:140.02–0.110:410.00–0.002:260.02–0.053:380.02–0.052:090.01–0.13
Bailey–Nelson–Beauvillier3:100.17–0.321:400.14–0.001:370.09–0.240:320.00–0.004:360.22–0.351:470.06–0.101:070.17–0.00
Martin–Johnston–Räty0:350.00–0.001:160.00–0.033:130.00–0.320:430.00–0.270:350.00–0.003:540.00–0.18
Parise–Pageau–Barzal0:400.04–0.001:110.00–0.070:560.05–0.001:260.00–0.07
Lee–Barzal–Holmstrom1:220.11–0.490:550.00–0.49
Cizikas–Nelson–Beauvillier0:500.07–0.000:500.07–0.00
Mayfield–Romanov3:060.00–0.182:480.00–0.033:290.06–0.001:590.00–0.335:290.06–0.333:390.07–0.003:020.00–0.10
Pulock–Wotherspoon4:000.00–0.552:550.00–0.001:060.07–0.001:040.00–0.013:280.04–0.063:000.08–0.002:380.00–0.51
Aho–Dobson0:310.00–0.122:360.22–0.022:130.02–0.322:060.02–0.101:010.00–0.092:500.22–0.173:490.03–0.142:480.00–0.33
Pulock–Dobson1:310.00–0.250:590.04–0.020:580.00–0.080:360.04–0.022:440.00–0.32
Pulock–Aho0:440.00–0.191:030.08–0.000:350.00–0.000:550.00–0.191:400.07–0.00
Mayfield–Aho0:410.00–0.000:310.19–0.000:440.00–0.00
Mayfield–Dobson0:400.04–0.001:010.05–0.00
Mayfield–Pulock0:460.17–0.000:450.17–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBailey FBeauvillier FNelson FBarzal FLee FCizikas FHolmstrom FPageau FParise FRäty FMartin FJohnston FPulock DAho DMayfield DRomanov DDobson DWotherspoon DSorokin GStaal FMartinook FFast FAho FJarvis FTeravainen FSvechnikov FNecas FStastny FStepan FNoesen FKotkaniemi FChatfield DBurns DPesce DSkjei Dde Haan DCoghlan DAndersen G
NYICARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan PulockNYI2724:390:551:5865
Brent BurnsCAR2824:060:521:5412
Noah DobsonNYI2422:270:561:5653
Brady SkjeiCAR2621:500:501:4953
Brett PesceCAR2520:480:501:4953
Mathew BarzalNYI2220:390:562:0464
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2720:300:461:5649
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2420:240:512:3812
Sebastian AhoNYI2519:550:481:3433
Scott MayfieldNYI2419:510:501:3913
Zach PariseNYI2419:300:491:5935
Jordan StaalCAR2219:040:521:4943
Alexander RomanovNYI2318:100:471:3823
Paul StastnyCAR1917:360:562:1922
Jordan MartinookCAR2117:280:501:4943
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2417:180:431:5033
Martin NecasCAR1816:580:572:2021
Jesper FastCAR2016:250:491:4942
Casey CizikasNYI2216:110:441:2345
Brock NelsonNYI2216:070:441:1650
Anders LeeNYI2115:590:461:2444
Josh BaileyNYI2415:490:401:2151
Anthony BeauvillierNYI2215:430:431:2460
Sebastian AhoCAR2215:290:421:0633
Seth JarvisCAR1815:080:502:0741
Calvin de HaanCAR1914:430:461:2831
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1714:180:501:2621
Simon HolmstromNYI1613:480:521:1512
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1712:470:451:1370
Dylan CoghlanCAR1612:060:451:2730
Stefan NoesenCAR1611:440:441:1450
Parker WotherspoonNYI1511:350:461:3403
Matt MartinNYI149:060:391:2903
Aatu RätyNYI158:500:350:5702
Derek StepanCAR148:060:351:0850
Ross JohnstonNYI117:510:431:0502