Mon, Jan 23, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
58%
29%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Scott MayfieldD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:15 | 0.05 | 54.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander RomanovD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.38 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Mathew BarzalC · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.18 | 57.2% | +21.2 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.27 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.05 | 54.6% | +17.6 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.03 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Kyle PalmieriC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:40 | 0.65 | 59.3% | +21.2 |
 Zach PariseLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.17 | 36.6% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:17 | 0.25 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:04 | 1.14 | 69.3% | +38.8 |
 Brock NelsonC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.39 | 65.3% | +17.6 |
 Samuel BolducD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.02 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Josh BaileyRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.11 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.27 | 64.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 0.02 | 10.1% | 0.0 |
 Aatu RätyC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:47 | 0.03 | 17.9% | 0.0 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.06 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | L | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 5.17 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:16 | 0.19 | 44.7% | +20.7 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 22:01 | 0.10 | 39.9% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:26 | 0.89 | 43.6% | +4.6 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.22 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:09 | 0.09 | 47.1% | +25.3 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.03 | 69.3% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.37 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.09 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 16:03 | 0.50 | 42.2% | +76.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.36 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 8 | 15:24 | 1.37 | 61.6% | +40.8 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.14 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.28 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.03 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:36 | 0.34 | 76.9% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 11:33 | 0.17 | 56.3% | +20.7 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 | 0.00 | 60.3% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 4.10 | +2.1 | 60:00 |