Mon, Jan 23, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
58%
29%
TOR winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Palmieri–Lee–Nelson | Parise–Bailey–Pageau | Cizikas–Barzal–Beauvillier | Martin–Holmstrom–Räty | Cizikas–Nelson–Beauvillier | Martin–Barzal–Beauvillier | Parise–Pageau–Holmstrom | Parise–Bailey–Räty | Mayfield–Romanov | Aho–Bolduc | Pelech–Pulock | Pulock–Romanov | Mayfield–Pelech | Pulock–Aho | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf | 1:370.16–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 4:560.43–0.60 | 0:440.23–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:100.41–0.54 | 5:100.34–0.11 | 2:060.08–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||
| Aston-Reese–Holmberg–McMann | 1:050.00–0.05 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 4:530.00–0.05 | 0:510.10–0.11 | 2:090.00–0.24 | 3:420.03–0.00 | 2:300.10–0.00 | |||||||
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 0:430.28–0.30 | 2:550.07–0.19 | 0:560.14–0.00 | 0:420.25–0.00 | 3:340.28–0.66 | 2:000.22–0.00 | 1:050.25–0.00 | 0:420.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Tavares–Jarnkrok–Nylander | 3:430.31–0.35 | 0:400.24–0.00 | 2:310.46–0.35 | 1:430.18–0.00 | 0:580.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Nylander–Bunting–Matthews | 2:400.00–0.51 | 1:250.00–0.14 | 1:550.00–0.05 | 1:110.00–0.37 | 1:060.00–0.23 | |||||||||
| Tavares–Jarnkrok–Marner | 2:510.18–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.16 | 2:170.17–0.01 | 0:470.01–0.02 | 0:560.00–0.17 | |||||||||
| Timmins–Sandin | 1:050.00–0.22 | 1:480.15–0.08 | 2:220.28–0.00 | 3:020.23–0.05 | 3:520.23–0.18 | 4:120.27–0.06 | 3:060.28–0.07 | |||||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 2:030.47–0.14 | 1:070.00–0.13 | 1:460.26–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:420.25–0.00 | 2:540.47–0.53 | 2:370.16–0.05 | 1:360.08–0.03 | 1:380.28–0.00 | |||||
| Holl–Rielly | 1:480.31–0.00 | 2:010.24–0.00 | 1:570.14–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:520.46–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 2:020.21–0.00 | 1:170.09–0.00 | ||||||
| Giordano–Holl | 3:290.00–0.77 | 0:370.01–0.01 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 3:340.01–0.44 | 2:110.00–0.37 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Liljegren | 0:380.00–0.20 | 1:380.01–0.02 | 2:220.00–0.83 | 0:590.00–0.01 | 2:200.00–0.64 | 1:080.01–0.02 | 2:340.00–0.38 | |||||||
| Rielly–Timmins | ||||||||||||||
| Giordano–Rielly | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.16 | ||||||||||||
| Liljegren–Sandin | 0:440.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Holl–Sandin | 0:500.17–0.00 | 0:500.17–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 23 | 24:15 | 1:03 | 2:53 | 2 | 3 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 22 | 22:23 | 1:01 | 1:59 | 2 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 25 | 22:16 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 0 | 6 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 22:01 | 0:55 | 2:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 30 | 21:48 | 0:44 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 20 | 20:26 | 1:01 | 1:38 | 6 | 1 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 26 | 20:19 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 1 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 21 | 20:03 | 0:57 | 1:43 | 6 | 1 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 23 | 19:55 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 4 | 0 |
 Justin HollTOR | 26 | 19:09 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 0 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinTOR | 23 | 18:27 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 6 | 1 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 24 | 17:59 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 2 | 7 |
 Sebastian AhoNYI | 21 | 17:33 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 1 | 1 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 27 | 16:55 | 0:38 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 22 | 16:40 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 6 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 21 | 16:28 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 |
 Zach PariseNYI | 21 | 16:20 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 0 | 6 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 21 | 16:18 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 5 | 1 |
 Anthony BeauvillierNYI | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 21 | 16:04 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 6 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 16:03 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 4 | 4 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 18 | 15:43 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 6 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 21 | 15:35 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 5 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 19 | 15:24 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Samuel BolducNYI | 17 | 14:28 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 1 | 0 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 17 | 14:24 | 0:51 | 1:27 | 0 | 2 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 21 | 14:18 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 18 | 13:30 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 0 | 2 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 18 | 13:05 | 0:44 | 1:01 | 1 | 2 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 16 | 11:59 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 0 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 15 | 11:36 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 17 | 11:33 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 14 | 11:10 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 14 | 11:03 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Aatu RätyNYI | 12 | 9:47 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 13 | 8:57 | 0:41 | 0:58 | 0 | 1 |