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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 23, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

New York Islanders 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

New York Islanders

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Pulock, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 3:37Shot by Cizikas, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 3:59Shot by Palmieri, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 6:10Shot by Pulock, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 8:26Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 9:35Shot by Bailey, saved by Samsonov
  8. P1 9:48Shot by Pageau, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 12:02Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 12:58Shot by Sandin, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 14:15Shot by Bolduc, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 14:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 16:53Shot by Martin, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 17:17Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Holmberg, McMann · NYI Martin, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom, Räty

  15. P1 17:28Shot by Romanov, saved by Samsonov5v4
  16. P1 18:37Shot by Marner, saved by Sorokin5v4
  17. P1 18:44Shot by Timmins, saved by Sorokin5v4
  18. P1 18:52Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Sorokin5v4
  19. P1 19:33Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Samsonov
  20. P1 19:37Shot by Nelson, saved by Samsonov
  21. P1 19:37Goal by Lee (Nelson, Aho)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Aston-Reese, Kampf · NYI Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Beauvillier, Aho

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 1:40Shot by Barzal, saved by Samsonov
  26. P2 1:42Shot by Romanov, saved by Samsonov
  27. P2 1:59Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Samsonov
  28. P2 2:33Shot by Palmieri, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 4:12Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 4:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 4:45Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 5:07Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Giordano)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Timmins, Sandin · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  33. P2 6:18Goal by Lee (Palmieri, Barzal)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Sandin · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Romanov

  34. P2 6:36Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 6:41Palmieri: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Rielly, Nylander · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Romanov

  36. P2 6:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin5v4
  37. P2 6:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin5v4
  38. P2 7:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin5v4
  39. P2 7:31Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin5v4
  40. P2 7:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin5v4
  41. P2 7:53Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Samsonov)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · NYI Parise, Pageau, Pulock, Romanov

  42. P2 9:33Goal by Jarnkrok (Nylander, Holl)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Rielly, Nylander · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech

  43. P2 11:12Shot by Nelson, saved by Samsonov
  44. P2 11:18Shot by Mayfield, saved by Samsonov
  45. P2 11:51Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  46. P2 12:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 14:19Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 15:24Romanov: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Romanov

  49. P2 15:24Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokinother
  50. P2 16:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 16:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 16:32Goal by Nylander, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Rielly, Nylander · NYI Parise, Bailey, Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov

  53. P2 17:45Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 18:11Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 18:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  56. P2 18:50Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin
  57. P2 19:28Holl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Holl, Rielly, Nylander · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Pelech

  58. P2 19:51Shot by Barzal, saved by Samsonov4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:42Shot by Holl, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 1:53Shot by Romanov, saved by Samsonov
  63. P3 3:28Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 3:38Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 4:57Shot by Palmieri, saved by Samsonov
  66. P3 5:22Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 5:51Shot by Parise, saved by Samsonov
  68. P3 6:59Shot by Räty, saved by Samsonov
  69. P3 7:44Goal by Matthews (Holl)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  70. P3 8:10Shot by Kampf, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 9:54Shot by Engvall, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 10:02Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Samsonov
  73. P3 11:02Shot by Mayfield, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 11:08Shot by Martin, saved by Samsonov
  75. P3 12:02Shot by Parise, saved by Samsonov
  76. P3 13:22Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin
  77. P3 13:24Shot by Kampf, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 13:27Liljegren: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier, Romanov

  79. P3 13:27Cizikas: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Barzal, Beauvillier, Romanov

  80. P3 14:43Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Samsonov4v4
  81. P3 14:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin4v4
  82. P3 17:33Shot by Pelech, saved by Samsonov
  83. P3 19:23Engvall: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren, Kampf, Sandin · NYI Parise, Bailey, Pageau, Mayfield, Romanov

  84. P3 19:58Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sorokin4v5
  85. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  86. P3 0:00Final