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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 24, 2023·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Buffalo Sabres 5, St. Louis Blues 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 91% of the time.

STL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Olofsson–Jost–MittelstadtOkposo–Girgensons–KrebsCozens–Quinn–PeterkaSkinner–Tuch–ThompsonSamuelsson–DahlinJokiharju–PowerBryson–LyubushkinJokiharju–DahlinDahlin–Power
Saad–Kyrou–Thomas3:290.12–0.191:380.14–0.003:430.07–0.002:120.03–0.285:330.17–0.193:300.19–0.393:080.02–0.11
Schenn–Tarasenko–Barbashev1:540.10–0.092:180.03–0.121:590.04–0.003:000.24–0.223:370.21–0.153:010.12–0.291:320.05–0.000:420.03–0.000:300.00–0.00
Acciari–Brown–Neighbours3:220.29–0.132:010.00–0.000:350.00–0.003:040.13–0.131:150.11–0.001:330.05–0.00
Pitlick–Walker–Toropchenko0:570.05–0.003:060.04–0.001:270.04–0.001:260.00–0.182:030.10–0.00
Acciari–Toropchenko–Neighbours1:240.00–0.001:120.00–0.001:060.00–0.001:320.00–0.00
Pitlick–Walker–Brown0:350.04–0.000:340.00–0.030:350.04–0.000:460.00–0.03
Pitlick–Acciari–Toropchenko0:320.00–0.00
Leddy–Mikkola1:470.00–0.192:100.10–0.002:180.06–0.002:080.03–0.004:190.16–0.192:120.03–0.001:540.00–0.00
Faulk–Krug1:390.03–0.001:280.00–0.121:350.01–0.111:430.19–0.002:120.06–0.041:330.09–0.082:260.11–0.050:480.03–0.11
Parayko–Tucker2:170.15–0.041:550.00–0.001:090.00–0.001:460.10–0.001:550.00–0.182:270.05–0.00
Krug–Tucker2:550.32–0.091:260.04–0.071:000.05–0.061:200.17–0.002:220.19–0.231:450.05–0.00
Leddy–Faulk0:470.11–0.001:160.00–0.001:160.04–0.001:270.06–0.043:360.09–0.041:120.11–0.000:330.00–0.06
Parayko–Mikkola0:320.06–0.001:480.00–0.381:010.00–0.111:080.00–0.391:040.06–0.00
Faulk–Mikkola0:410.00–0.000:320.00–0.020:380.00–0.00
Leddy–Parayko1:170.00–0.14
Krug–Parayko0:410.00–0.000:380.02–0.000:480.00–0.00
Leddy–Tucker1:080.08–0.000:460.08–0.00
Mikkola–Tucker0:450.00–0.130:440.00–0.13
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPitlick FToropchenko FWalker FSchenn FBarbashev FTarasenko FThomas FSaad FKyrou FBrown FNeighbours FAcciari FKrug DTucker DParayko DLeddy DFaulk DMikkola DBinnington GKrebs FOkposo FGirgensons FThompson FSkinner FTuch FQuinn FCozens FPeterka FJost FMittelstadt FOlofsson FSamuelsson DDahlin DPower DJokiharju DLyubushkin DBryson DLuukkonen G
STLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3026:570:541:5053
Nick LeddySTL2521:410:521:2905
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2321:380:561:3753
Torey KrugSTL2621:150:492:4944
Justin FaulkSTL2621:070:491:3916
Robert ThomasSTL2120:390:593:0014
Henri JokiharjuBUF2719:470:441:0823
Jordan KyrouSTL2019:370:593:0115
Owen PowerBUF2619:280:451:0921
Niko MikkolaSTL2319:020:502:0802
Dylan CozensBUF2018:380:561:4360
Brayden SchennSTL2218:080:492:3245
Ivan BarbashevSTL2218:000:491:3222
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2317:190:452:3243
Brandon SaadSTL1917:100:541:2003
Alex TuchBUF2116:320:471:5651
Tyler TuckerSTL2216:160:441:1022
Colton ParaykoSTL2116:150:461:2911
Tyson JostBUF1815:530:531:1426
Casey MittelstadtBUF1815:440:521:1915
Victor OlofssonBUF1815:350:521:1445
Ilya LyubushkinBUF2214:470:401:1441
Noel AcciariSTL2014:390:441:2625
Kyle OkposoBUF2014:380:441:0911
Tage ThompsonBUF1814:310:481:5050
Peyton KrebsBUF1814:030:471:1621
Jacob BrysonBUF2114:000:401:0831
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1913:580:441:0712
Jeff SkinnerBUF1713:430:481:4540
Jake NeighboursSTL1513:240:541:1910
Jack QuinnBUF1512:280:501:2630
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1712:240:441:0001
JJ PeterkaBUF1611:540:451:2240
Logan BrownSTL1410:300:451:0910
Tyler PitlickSTL139:420:451:0001
Nathan WalkerSTL129:220:471:0900