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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 27, 2023·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Calgary Flames 5, Seattle Kraken 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 68% of the time.

SEA winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kadri–Huberdeau–PelletierToffoli–Lindholm–DubeBacklund–Coleman–MangiapaneLewis–Lucic–RuzickaLewis–Lucic–KadriToffoli–Lindholm–MangiapaneLucic–Backlund–ColemanWeegar–ZadorovHanifin–AnderssonStone–GilbertZadorov–Andersson
Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Tolvanen1:530.02–0.093:100.02–0.121:120.00–0.141:000.12–0.002:530.14–0.132:230.02–0.092:170.00–0.140:490.00–0.00
Hayden–Sprong–Geekie1:020.00–0.100:330.00–0.002:360.27–0.132:110.21–0.001:160.06–0.13
Wennberg–McCann–Tanev1:150.10–0.131:100.03–0.020:490.00–0.001:290.12–0.001:450.00–0.15
Eberle–Burakovsky–Donato0:530.00–0.131:460.00–0.250:500.00–0.282:040.00–0.31
Eberle–Burakovsky–Geekie1:480.13–0.201:160.00–0.081:350.30–0.11
Wennberg–McCann–Donato0:560.04–0.001:310.04–0.000:320.00–0.02
Gourde–Tanev–Geekie1:180.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Wennberg–Sprong–Tanev1:160.04–0.000:450.04–0.00
Eberle–Burakovsky–McCann1:040.18–0.081:200.18–0.15
Wennberg–Donato–Tanev0:460.00–0.000:450.09–0.001:240.09–0.00
Larsson–Dunn4:320.04–0.234:260.20–0.232:050.06–0.191:240.06–0.134:220.06–0.085:040.25–0.333:180.06–0.200:420.00–0.05
Oleksiak–Borgen3:400.10–0.082:120.07–0.132:590.15–0.200:410.12–0.005:260.41–0.133:110.06–0.222:470.00–0.23
Soucy–Fleury1:030.00–0.001:240.17–0.001:280.00–0.162:370.12–0.020:470.00–0.003:040.12–0.352:310.17–0.162:040.00–0.00
Oleksiak–Dunn0:520.07–0.000:400.00–0.020:420.07–0.001:070.00–0.28
Larsson–Soucy0:310.02–0.090:390.01–0.000:480.02–0.09
Oleksiak–Soucy0:420.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTolvanen FBjorkstrand FGourde FTanev FMcCann FWennberg FBurakovsky FDonato FEberle FSprong FHayden FGeekie FLarsson DDunn DBorgen DOleksiak DFleury DSoucy DJones GHuberdeau FPelletier FKadri FLindholm FDube FToffoli FMangiapane FColeman FBacklund FLucic FRuzicka FLewis FAndersson DHanifin DZadorov DWeegar DStone DGilbert DVladar G
SEACGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Vince DunnSEA2527:371:063:2351
Noah HanifinCGY3624:230:411:31410
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3824:200:381:06410
Alexander WennbergSEA2423:010:582:3546
Jared McCannSEA2421:200:531:5852
Nikita ZadorovCGY3421:190:381:1356
Adam LarssonSEA2920:550:431:1754
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3220:450:391:2266
Jamie OleksiakSEA2419:300:492:2018
Elias LindholmCGY2918:480:391:2267
Andre BurakovskySEA2118:400:531:4792
Jordan EberleSEA2118:030:521:4772
Mikael BacklundCGY2617:160:401:2629
Carson SoucySEA2216:590:461:2925
Nazem KadriCGY2216:340:451:1840
Yanni GourdeSEA2116:180:471:2611
Dillon DubeCGY2616:120:371:1746
Will BorgenSEA2215:340:421:1706
Blake ColemanCGY2315:320:411:2226
Brandon TanevSEA2215:130:421:1418
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2214:300:400:5740
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2214:230:391:1523
Eeli TolvanenSEA2114:180:411:1531
Morgan GeekieSEA1814:070:471:3022
Tyler ToffoliCGY2514:070:341:1254
Jakob PelletierCGY1913:540:441:4630
Ryan DonatoSEA1713:420:481:4324
Oliver BjorkstrandSEA1913:350:431:1930
Dennis GilbertCGY2313:120:340:5302
Trevor LewisCGY2012:450:381:2924
Michael StoneCGY2412:380:321:0002
Milan LucicCGY1511:400:471:1931
Daniel SprongSEA1711:240:401:2742
Cale FleurySEA129:430:491:3002
Adam RuzickaCGY127:390:381:0011
John HaydenSEA106:230:380:5412