Sat, Feb 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 7, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 56% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:20Shot by Backlund, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 0:57Shot by Pelletier, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 2:30Shot by Jost, saved by Markstrom
- P1 3:30Krebs: Embellishment (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · CGY Backlund, Stone, Coleman, Mangiapane, Gilbert
- P1 3:30Stone: Cross checking (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · CGY Backlund, Stone, Coleman, Mangiapane, Gilbert
- P1 5:47Shot by Hanifin, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 5:49Shot by Ritchie, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 6:39Ritchie: Cross checking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Zadorov, Mangiapane
- P1 7:56Goal by Thompson (Dahlin, Cozens)5v4+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · CGY Lewis, Coleman, Weegar, Zadorov
- P1 8:17Shot by Hanifin, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 8:56Shot by Weegar, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 12:34Goal by Mittelstadt (Olofsson, Jost)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · CGY Tanev, Toffoli, Lindholm, Hanifin, Dube
- P1 14:35Shot by Zadorov, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 15:26Shot by Toffoli, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 16:31Okposo: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Zadorov, Pelletier
- P1 16:34Shot by Hanifin, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P1 17:20Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P1 18:33Shot by Backlund, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 0:46Shot by Kadri, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 1:09Shot by Lindholm, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 1:09Shot by Hanifin, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 1:47Shot by Stone, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 2:17Goal by Pelletier (Kadri, Huberdeau)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Zadorov, Pelletier
- P2 2:37Goal by Backlund (Coleman, Tanev)+20 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin
- P2 3:36Shot by Lewis, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 3:42Shot by Stone, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 4:04Goal by Gilbert (Dube, Lindholm)+20 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin · CGY Stone, Toffoli, Lindholm, Gilbert, Dube
- P2 5:09Shot by Hanifin, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 5:11Shot by Coleman, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 5:23Pelletier: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Zadorov, Mangiapane
- P2 5:54Shot by Cozens, saved by Markstrom5v4
- P2 6:32Shot by Quinn, saved by Markstrom5v4
- P2 6:38Shot by Backlund, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 7:09Shot by Dube, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 7:39Goal by Kadri (Huberdeau, Tanev)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power · CGY Kadri, Tanev, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Pelletier
- P2 7:50Shot by Toffoli, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 7:57Shot by Toffoli, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 10:34Shot by Kadri, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 10:46Shot by Zadorov, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 11:15Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom
- P2 11:41Shot by Backlund, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 11:58Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 13:09Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom
- P2 13:19Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Markstrom
- P2 15:02Quinn: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Bryson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Zadorov, Mangiapane
- P2 15:21Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom4v5
- P2 16:19Lyubushkin: Slashing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Girgensons, Tuch, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin · CGY Backlund, Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Dube
- P2 16:19Weegar: Cross checking (2 min)3v5
On ice: BUF Girgensons, Tuch, Samuelsson, Lyubushkin · CGY Backlund, Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Dube
- P2 19:20Shot by Pelletier, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 19:59Shot by Zadorov, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:27Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom
- P3 1:46Shot by Jost, saved by Markstrom
- P3 1:57Goal by Toffoli (Dube, Gilbert)+6 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Lyubushkin · CGY Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Gilbert, Dube
- P3 3:46Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom
- P3 3:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom
- P3 3:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom
- P3 5:47Shot by Ritchie, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 8:29Shot by Olofsson, saved by Markstrom
- P3 8:32Shot by Girgensons, saved by Markstrom
- P3 11:11Dahlin: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · CGY Coleman, Weegar, Lindholm, Zadorov, Dube
- P3 11:37Shot by Pelletier, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 12:04Shot by Krebs, saved by Markstrom4v5
- P3 12:05Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom4v5
- P3 12:07Shot by Okposo, saved by Markstrom4v5
- P3 12:53Shot by Power, saved by Markstrom4v5
- P3 13:05Goal by Toffoli (Dube, Markstrom)4v5+1 pts WP
On ice: BUF Jost, Bryson, Lyubushkin, Cozens · CGY Lewis, Tanev, Toffoli, Zadorov, Dube
- P3 13:41Lucic: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Thompson, Jokiharju, Peterka, Power · CGY Lewis, Lucic, Tanev, Ritchie, Hanifin
- P3 13:49Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom5v4
- P3 13:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Markstrom5v4
- P3 15:06Shot by Peterka, saved by Markstrom5v4
- P3 16:59Shot by Dube, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 17:11Goal by Dube (Lindholm, Toffoli)0 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Thompson, Bryson, Lyubushkin · CGY Toffoli, Weegar, Lindholm, Zadorov, Dube
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final